Sources & evidence

Renewables generated about 30% of global electricity in 2023 and reached 33.8% by 2025, up from roughly 19% in 2000.

high confidence · supported

Anchored to Ember's Global Electricity Review (30% in 2023, 33.8% in 2025) and World Bank output data (~19% in 2000), all high-confidence dossier data points.

The world added nearly 510 GW of renewable capacity in 2023, with China accounting for roughly 60% of the expansion.

high confidence · supported

Stated by the IEA Renewables 2023 executive summary and reproduced in the dossier's verified China fact.

The record renewable capacity buildout is the dominant upward pressure lifting the renewable share of global electricity.

high confidence · supported

Factrail's graph links the renewable-buildout driver to the global-share indicator with high confidence and a ~1-year lag from commissioning to output.

The Inflation Reduction Act, with about $369 billion in clean-energy provisions, materially reinforces the renewable buildout.

high confidence · supported

The IRA fact is verified via the White House guidebook; the dossier links it to the buildout driver as a strengthening force.

Record fossil-fuel subsidies act as a weakening counter-pressure that dampens how fast renewables displace fossil generation.

medium confidence · needs review

Factrail links the subsidies driver to the global-share indicator as a weakening force; the underlying $7 trillion figure depends on a contested implicit-subsidy methodology and is flagged needs_review.

The renewable share is expected to keep rising through the late 2020s, with the open question being pace rather than direction.

medium confidence · partially supported

Extrapolates the verified upward trend and the high-confidence buildout-to-indicator link; pace is uncertain due to subsidy persistence and grid limits, so it is published as a needs_review forecast.