Every source behind When enforcement bends the curve: the Amazon's three-year reversal, and the claims they support.
Official PRODES/INPE monitoring shows Brazilian Amazon deforestation fell about 30.6% in 2023-2024 and a further 11.08% in 2024-2025, a roughly 50% cumulative cut since 2022.
high confidence · supported
The figures come directly from an official Brazilian government release citing PRODES/INPE, carried in the dossier as a verified, URL-verified source.
The decline registers in the Factrail graph as a weakening of the tropical deforestation pressure driver, whose intensity fell from about 0.82 in 2021 to roughly 0.45 in 2024.
high confidence · supported
The fact-driver link in the dossier is a weakening action (direction -1, weight 0.75); the driver's own data series shows the modelled fall.
| Source | Publisher | Type |
|---|---|---|
| In 2025, deforestation fell by 11.08 percent in the Amazon and by 11.49 percent in the Cerrado | Government of Brazil - Secretaria de Comunicacao Social (Secom) | press_release |