Articles · Factrail

703 published in total

Current selection overview50 of 344 analyses

Published analyses

50Latest August 2026

50 / 344

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116

42People
6Facts
37Drivers
31Indicators

Evidence base

2996 facts referenced · ≈6 sources/analysis

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August 3, 2026democracy-institutions

Martial Law in South Korea: How Institutions Contained a Political Crisis

Incomplete text

Martial Law in South Korea: How Institutions Contained a Political Crisis examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared emergency martial law” separate from the continuing Driver Constitutional Resilience, then uses Rule of Law - Governance score (0-100) as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

Driver1
Indicator1

August 3, 2026democracy-institutions

The Wave of Coups in Africa: Why Civilian Institutions Gave Way to the Military

Incomplete text

The Wave of Coups in Africa: Why Civilian Institutions Gave Way to the Military examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “Niger’s presidential guard carried out a coup and detained President Mohamed Bazoum” separate from the continuing Driver Coup Risk, then uses Clean elections index as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

Driver1
Indicator1

August 3, 2026middle-east-security

A New Security Architecture for the Middle East: Who Could Build It?

Incomplete text

A New Security Architecture for the Middle East: Who Could Build It? examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “A ceasefire took effect after twelve days of fighting between Israel and Iran” separate from the continuing Driver Military-Alliance Cohesion, then uses Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

Driver1
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August 3, 2026middle-east-security

Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities and the Future of the Non-Proliferation Regime

Incomplete text

Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities and the Future of the Non-Proliferation Regime examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “The United States struck three Iranian nuclear sites” separate from the continuing Driver Nuclear Escalation Risk, then uses Number of conflict-related deaths (civilians), by sex, age and cause of death (Number) — people under 18 as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

People2
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August 3, 2026middle-east-security

Regional Proxy Networks: How Iran's Influence Is Distributed

Incomplete text

Regional Proxy Networks: How Iran's Influence Is Distributed examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “An Israeli strike destroyed Iran’s consular building in Damascus” separate from the continuing Driver Proxy-War Intensity, then uses Number of conflict-related deaths (civilians), by sex, age and cause of death (Number) — unspecified population as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

People2
Driver1
Indicator1

August 3, 2026middle-east-security

Hostage and Prisoner Exchanges as the Central Mechanism of Negotiation

Incomplete text

Hostage and Prisoner Exchanges as the Central Mechanism of Negotiation examines a 2020–2025 question through a documented timeline, competing explanations, and distributional effects. It keeps the dated record “Israel and Hamas agreed a temporary pause and a hostage-prisoner exchange” separate from the continuing Driver Capacity for Peace Negotiations, then uses Victims reporting violence to competent authorities or recognized conflict-resolution mechanisms as a bounded welfare lens. The analysis states what the sources establish, what remains interpretive, and which observations would change the conclusion.

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Aug 3, 2026

Western Recognition of the State of Palestine: Symbolic and Diplomatic Effects

Incomplete text

Person: Benjamin Netanyahu

Aug 3, 2026

The PKK's Decision to Disband: The End of a Conflict or a Change in Its Form?

Incomplete text

Driver: Peacebuilding and Mediation Efforts

Aug 3, 2026

Syria after Bashar al-Assad's Fall: A Transitional Order and New Risks

Incomplete text

Fact: Bashar al-Assad’s government lost control of Damascus