Percentage of the world's electricity generated from renewable sources (hydro, wind, solar, bioenergy, geothermal, marine). A core welfare indicator because higher clean-power shares displace fossil generation, cutting air-pollution and climate harm while improving energy resilience.
How to read it
Higher is better — readings above the norm count as better.
Measured value over time. Its norm (19.0 % of electricity generation) is far off this scale, so the series stays better than norm throughout — the deviation badge shows the gap.
Each driver linked to this indicator, strongest pull first, on the same timeline above. Markers are the facts that moved that driver. These are modelled influences — treat them as correlational unless a documented causal edge is shown.
New renewable capacity directly raises the renewable share of global electricity generation, with roughly a year lag from commissioning to full-year output.
High fossil-fuel subsidies lower the relative cost of fossil generation, dampening the competitive displacement that would otherwise raise the renewable share.
Binding climate policy — carbon pricing, clean-energy investment and coal phase-outs — accelerates renewable deployment, raising the renewable share of electricity.
Projected scenarios from the Factrail model. These describe what may happen under stated assumptions — they are not confirmed facts and may change as new data arrives.
Horizon: Jun 9, 2026 – Dec 31, 2030
Under a baseline of continued record-class renewable additions and only gradual subsidy unwinding, Factrail projects the global renewable electricity share to keep rising from 33.8% in 2025 toward roughly 40% by 2030, with persistent fossil-fuel subsidies acting as the main drag on the pace.
Assumptions
Assumes the renewable-buildout driver stays at or near its recent record pace (solar PV dominant, China continuing as the largest contributor), policy support such as the IRA broadly persists, no major grid-integration ceiling is hit before 2030, and fossil-fuel subsidies ease only gradually from their 2022 peak. Pace, not direction, is the uncertain variable.
This indicator’s slice of Factrail’s verified causal web — the people, facts, drivers and welfare indicators it connects to. Select any node to trace a path.
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This is a projected scenario, not a confirmed fact.
Updated
Percentage of the world's electricity generated from renewable sources (hydro, wind, solar, bioenergy, geothermal, marine). A core welfare indicator because higher clean-power shares displace fossil generation, cutting air-pollution and climate harm while improving energy resilience.