demography

Old-age dependency ratio (world)

Name: Old-age dependency ratio (world)
Creator: Factrail

Population aged 65 and over as a share of the working-age population (15-64), worldwide. Rising old-age dependency captures population ageing and is a structural driver of demand for migrant labour and pension/welfare strain.

current value16.0% of working-age population

Worse than normalInsufficient history

GlobalAbove normal = worseimportance: 0.70unit: % of working-age population0 active driversUpdated Dec 2025

How to read it

Readings above the normal line are worse than normal, so they plot downward here; readings below it are better.

Indicator & its drivers over time

Insufficient history — only one observation, so there is no trend yet.

Measured value over time. Its norm (10.0 % of working-age population) is far off this scale, marked at the bottom edge, so the series stays worse than normal throughout — the deviation badge shows the gap.

Norm 10.0 % of working-age population— below this scale

Each driver linked to this indicator, strongest pull first, on the same timeline above. Markers are the facts that moved that driver. These are modelled influences — treat them as correlational unless a documented causal edge is shown.

No drivers are linked to this indicator yet.

Fact markers
Initiating
Strengthening
Neutralizing
Weakening

Causal network

No mapped relationship chain yet

Factrail hasn’t mapped a verified causal chain for this indicator yet. This reflects the relationships currently captured in the graph.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed 30 June 2026