Direction convention: direction = what happens to the indicator VALUE when the driver's named condition increases. More state fragility widens the gap between actual and high government effectiveness, so the gap value rises; because a larger gap is worse, this is adverse. Strength basis: UN reporting from Haiti describes attacks on state infrastructure, weakening institutions and loss of rule-of-law capacity, the same institutional failures captured by a larger government-effectiveness gap. Strength 0.74 is a qualitative pathway class from the pack, not an empirical coefficient; it creates no historical indicator observations.
State Fragility in Conflict Zones: lowers welfare, impact strength 74%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Government Effectiveness Gap from the Highest Governance Score
It belongs to Human Rights, Freedoms, and Equality Before the Law, the part of the welfare catalog concerned with institutional protection from abuse, legal equality, political freedom, and access to remedy. The exact stored unit is Score, the geographic presentation is global, the data publisher is World Bank, and…
How to read it
The normal level is zero; any reading above zero is worse than normal.
Indicator & its drivers over time
About this indicator
It belongs to Human Rights, Freedoms, and Equality Before the Law, the part of the welfare catalog concerned with institutional protection from abuse, legal equality, political freedom, and access to remedy. The exact stored unit is Score, the geographic presentation is global, the data publisher is World Bank, and the immutable numerical identity is WDI GOVWGIGE_SC Candidate 73 is broader or differently denominated than “Government Effectiveness Gap from the Highest Governance Score” in Score. Factrail stores this narrower source-defined measure, preserves the input wording in reconciliation, and makes no claim that the values measure the broader phrase. For catalog item 73, the provider definition is: Government Effectiveness (GE) captures perceptions of the quality of public services, the civil service, policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of a government’s decisions. Governance score is a linear transformation of the governance estimate using hypothetical worst-case and base-case countries. It is an absolute score ranging from 0-100. Larger values correspond to better governance. The (country-series-time) metadata include the (a) number of sources, and (b) confidence intervals (lower and upper bound). The number of sources indicates the number of underlying data sources on which the governance score (respectively the underlying governance estimate) is based. The confidence intervals include the lower and upper bound of the 90% confidence interval for the governance score. Confidence intervals are a statistical range of values that likely contain the true value (of what is being estimated). That definition controls the denominator, population, reporting instrument, and statistical meaning. This Indicator records an observed outcome; it does not assert why that outcome changed. Welfare assessment for item 73 uses zeroisnorm. Only zero satisfies the norm; every positive stored incidence or gap is adverse. The direction applies to the stored official measure after the disclosed transformation, if any, rather than being inferred from an emotionally positive or negative title. The stored value is the disclosed distance from the highest possible governance score: 100 minus the published score. Keeping title, series identity, unit, scope, transformation, and interpretation together prevents the record from mixing incompatible measurement concepts. The numerical observations for catalog item 73 were retrieved from World Development Indicators (WDI) through https://data360api.worldbank.org/data360/data?DATABASEID=WBWDI&INDICATOR=WBWDIGOVWGIGESC&timePeriodFrom=2018&timePeriodTo=2025 (opens in a new tab). The provider landing page is https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GOVWGIGESC (opens in a new tab). The research package records the access date, exact dataset and series identifiers, dimension key country=all, unit, provider metadata, transformation, and yearly aggregation label. The bounded Source and Evidence records can therefore reproduce which numbers were used without treating a generic homepage as row-level proof. Measurement provenance for item 73 follows this provider method: The World Bank world aggregate is retained when it exists for a year; otherwise Factrail records a disclosed unweighted mean of reporting economies for the same exact indicator code. The aggregation label on every point distinguishes those two cases. 2018 combines 204 reporting economies; 2019 combines 204 reporting economies; 2020 combines 204 reporting economies; 2021 combines 204 reporting economies; 2022 combines 204 reporting economies; 2023 combines 204 reporting economies; 2024 combines 204 reporting economies. The output keeps full numerical precision through NormalLine, deviation, and interpretation calculations. Display clients may round for readability, but the persisted value is not squeezed into a zero-to-one score and is not rounded before calculation. The item 73 NormalLine starts on 2018-01-01 at 0 Score. Canonical moral and legal zero. No observed abuse, death, disappearance, or institutional gap is normalized into an acceptable non-zero level. For zeroisnorm, the value is exactly zero and is never relaxed because non-zero observations are common. For every item 73 point, normallinevalue copies that dated line and deviationfromnormal is stored in raw-unit terms as observation minus NormalLine. Arithmetic sign and welfare sign are separate. A positive raw deviation is adverse for lowerisbetter, favourable for higherisbetter, and adverse above zero for zeroisnorm. The custom governance score retains its provider scale and uses the public methodology explanation rather than title sentiment. The complete retained sequence is 2018: 47.4266760637 Score; 2019: 47.3832900294 Score; 2020: 48.2436424265 Score; 2021: 48.1028956569 Score; 2022: 48.0803976912 Score; 2023: 47.8629957206 Score; 2024: 47.8112895637 Score. The first observation is 47.4266760637 Score in 2018 and the latest is 47.8112895637 Score in 2024. The absolute change is 0.3846135 Score, equivalent to 0.810964486492% of the absolute starting level. The minimum observed value is 47.3832900294 Score, and the maximum is 48.2436424265 Score. For catalog item 73, the latest observation differs from the NormalLine by 47.8112895637 Score and is classified as negative under zeroisnorm. That classification is a deterministic comparison, not a causal explanation or editorial verdict. A movement may reflect real change, altered reporting coverage, revised estimates, a changed survey frame, or several of those at once. There are 7 retained item 73 observations in the selected 2018-2025 research window. The retained observations satisfy the minimum temporal rule without interpolation, extrapolation, or forward filling. Missing years are absent observations, not zeroes. The sequence is intentionally irregular when the official source is irregular, because a smooth-looking line created by invented values would be methodologically false. The displayed global item 73 sequence has one consistent numerical identity: WDI GOVWGIGE_SC No second source series is spliced into a gap, no latest value is copied into a missing year, and no country-only observation is relabelled as a World value. If the source later adds or revises an observation, the update must arrive as a new reviewed research package with its own checksum and audit record. A defensible graph edge requires an existing Driver, direction, strength, lag, confidence, and Source/Evidence that supports the mechanism. The outcome series alone cannot establish that causal chain. For item 73, importance weight 0.8500000000000001 is generated by indicator-importance-rubric-v1. Its five committed components are directness 0.9, population reach 0.85, persistence 0.85, effect on human capabilities 0.8, and overlap control 0.9. The formula weights them 0.35, 0.25, 0.20, 0.15, and 0.05, then rounds to the nearest 0.05. The value is deterministic and reproducible; it is not an intuitive score assigned while drafting prose. Candidate 73 is broader or differently denominated than “Government Effectiveness Gap from the Highest Governance Score” in Score. Factrail stores this narrower source-defined measure, preserves the input wording in reconciliation, and makes no claim that the values measure the broader phrase. The correction preserves all 120 catalog candidates as auditable inputs while refusing to fabricate a literal series that the selected official systems do not publish coherently. The resulting canonical Indicator may be narrower, differently denominated, or differently scoped than the preliminary phrase, and that difference is part of the record rather than hidden in a footnote. The 2018-2024 sequence for item 73 is too short for strong causal or structural claims. Cross-economy comparability can be affected by institutional definitions, survey coverage, modelled estimates, missing observations, classification practices, revisions, and unequal statistical capacity. A global aggregate or unweighted reporting-economy mean can also conceal distributional extremes and should not be used as an individual-level estimate. The item 73 NormalLine is a transparent comparative reference, not a claim that every jurisdiction has the same legal target or feasible frontier. The source may revise both historical points and metadata. Any later refresh must preserve the earlier Source, Evidence, checksum, and audit trail; it must not mutate the meaning of an already reviewed series identity.
Causal network
This indicator’s slice of Factrail’s verified causal web — the people, facts, drivers and welfare indicators it connects to. Select any node to trace a path.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed