Direction convention: direction = what happens to the indicator VALUE when the driver's named condition increases. More terrorist activity adds lethal attacks in conflict settings and therefore raises the civilian conflict-death count; because a higher count is harmful, this is adverse. Strength basis: The Global Terrorism Index documents thousands of terrorism deaths and shows that over 90% of attacks occur in conflict zones, where terrorist violence adds to civilian conflict mortality. Strength 0.72 is a qualitative pathway class from the pack, not an empirical coefficient; it creates no historical indicator observations.
Terrorist Activity: lowers welfare, impact strength 72%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Number of conflict-related deaths (civilians), by sex, age and cause of death (Number) — unspecified population
It belongs to Safety, Crime, and Personal Security, the part of the welfare catalog concerned with exposure to violence, conflict, displacement, and perceived or observed personal security. The exact stored unit is NUMBER, the geographic presentation is global, the data publisher is United Nations Statistics Divisio…
How to read it
The normal level is zero; any reading above zero is worse than normal.
Indicator & its drivers over time
About this indicator
It belongs to Safety, Crime, and Personal Security, the part of the welfare catalog concerned with exposure to violence, conflict, displacement, and perceived or observed personal security. The exact stored unit is NUMBER, the geographic presentation is global, the data publisher is United Nations Statistics Division, and the immutable numerical identity is UN-SDG-16.1.2#VCDTHTOCVN#Age=U|Cause of death=T|Reporting Type=G|Sex=_U#identity. The preliminary catalog candidate 69 is reconciled to the exact official series “Number of conflict-related deaths (civilians), by sex, age and cause of death (Number) — unspecified population” in NUMBER. This is a deliberate canonical correction: the database title names what the values actually measure, while the input wording remains in the reconciliation and audit trail. No hidden proxy label, fallback series, or silently substituted denominator remains. For catalog item 69, the provider definition is: Number of conflict-related deaths (civilians), by sex, age and cause of death (Number). The stored rows are the official World aggregate for SDG indicator 16.1.2, series VCDTHTOCVN, constrained to Age=U|Cause of death=T|Reporting Type=G|Sex=_U. That definition controls the denominator, population, reporting instrument, and statistical meaning. This Indicator records an observed outcome; it does not assert why that outcome changed. Welfare assessment for item 69 uses zeroisnorm. Only zero satisfies the norm; every positive stored incidence or gap is adverse. The direction applies to the stored official measure after the disclosed transformation, if any, rather than being inferred from an emotionally positive or negative title. No mathematical transformation is applied before persistence. Keeping title, series identity, unit, scope, transformation, and interpretation together prevents the record from mixing incompatible measurement concepts. The numerical observations for catalog item 69 were retrieved from United Nations Global SDG Indicators Database through https://unstats.un.org/SDGAPI/v1/sdg/Indicator/Data?indicator=16.1.2&areaCode=1&pageSize=1000 (opens in a new tab). The provider landing page is https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/dataportal/database?indicator=16.1.2 (opens in a new tab). The research package records the access date, exact dataset and series identifiers, dimension key Age=U|Cause of death=T|Reporting Type=G|Sex=_U, unit, provider metadata, transformation, and yearly aggregation label. The bounded Source and Evidence records can therefore reproduce which numbers were used without treating a generic homepage as row-level proof. Measurement provenance for item 69 follows this provider method: The United Nations database supplies a World aggregate for the exact series and dimension tuple. Factrail stores that published global observation and does not recompute it from country rows. 2018 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2019 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2020 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2021 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2022 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2023 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2024 uses the provider-published World aggregate; 2025 uses the provider-published World aggregate. The output keeps full numerical precision through NormalLine, deviation, and interpretation calculations. Display clients may round for readability, but the persisted value is not squeezed into a zero-to-one score and is not rounded before calculation. The item 69 NormalLine starts on 2018-01-01 at 0 NUMBER. Canonical moral and legal zero. No observed abuse, death, disappearance, or institutional gap is normalized into an acceptable non-zero level. For zeroisnorm, the value is exactly zero and is never relaxed because non-zero observations are common. For every item 69 point, normallinevalue copies that dated line and deviationfromnormal is stored in raw-unit terms as observation minus NormalLine. Arithmetic sign and welfare sign are separate. A positive raw deviation is adverse for lowerisbetter, favourable for higherisbetter, and adverse above zero for zeroisnorm. The custom governance score retains its provider scale and uses the public methodology explanation rather than title sentiment. The complete retained sequence is 2018: 228 NUMBER; 2019: 188 NUMBER; 2020: 421 NUMBER; 2021: 1669 NUMBER; 2022: 674 NUMBER; 2023: 8695 NUMBER; 2024: 2377 NUMBER; 2025: 4851 NUMBER. The first observation is 228 NUMBER in 2018 and the latest is 4851 NUMBER in 2025. The absolute change is 4623 NUMBER, equivalent to 2027.63157895% of the absolute starting level. The minimum observed value is 188 NUMBER, and the maximum is 8695 NUMBER. For catalog item 69, the latest observation differs from the NormalLine by 4851 NUMBER and is classified as negative under zeroisnorm. That classification is a deterministic comparison, not a causal explanation or editorial verdict. A movement may reflect real change, altered reporting coverage, revised estimates, a changed survey frame, or several of those at once. There are 8 retained item 69 observations in the selected 2018-2025 research window. The retained observations satisfy the minimum temporal rule without interpolation, extrapolation, or forward filling. Missing years are absent observations, not zeroes. The sequence is intentionally irregular when the official source is irregular, because a smooth-looking line created by invented values would be methodologically false. The displayed global item 69 sequence has one consistent numerical identity: UN-SDG-16.1.2#VCDTHTOCVN#Age=U|Cause of death=T|Reporting Type=G|Sex=_U#identity. No second source series is spliced into a gap, no latest value is copied into a missing year, and no country-only observation is relabelled as a World value. If the source later adds or revises an observation, the update must arrive as a new reviewed research package with its own checksum and audit record. A defensible graph edge requires an existing Driver, direction, strength, lag, confidence, and Source/Evidence that supports the mechanism. The outcome series alone cannot establish that causal chain. For item 69, importance weight 0.8500000000000001 is generated by indicator-importance-rubric-v1. Its five committed components are directness 0.9, population reach 0.8, persistence 0.75, effect on human capabilities 0.85, and overlap control 0.9. The formula weights them 0.35, 0.25, 0.20, 0.15, and 0.05, then rounds to the nearest 0.05. The value is deterministic and reproducible; it is not an intuitive score assigned while drafting prose. The 2018-2025 sequence for item 69 is too short for strong causal or structural claims. Cross-economy comparability can be affected by institutional definitions, survey coverage, modelled estimates, missing observations, classification practices, revisions, and unequal statistical capacity. A global aggregate or unweighted reporting-economy mean can also conceal distributional extremes and should not be used as an individual-level estimate. The item 69 NormalLine is a transparent comparative reference, not a claim that every jurisdiction has the same legal target or feasible frontier. The source may revise both historical points and metadata. Any later refresh must preserve the earlier Source, Evidence, checksum, and audit trail; it must not mutate the meaning of an already reviewed series identity.
Causal network
This indicator’s slice of Factrail’s verified causal web — the people, facts, drivers and welfare indicators it connects to. Select any node to trace a path.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed