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Hassan Sheikh Mohamud

Hassan Sheikh Mohamud

-53

Net harmfulFormula-derived score

The through-line is an Al-Shabaab war and federal-fracture file: a 214–110 parliamentary runoff behind blast walls, not a donor-stability poster. Still in office at apply; term disputed by opposition since May 2026. The largest negative contribution to the formula-derived score is “Parliament elects Mohamud 214–110; he is sworn the same night” (2022).

Top harm

Parliament elects Mohamud 214–110; he is sworn the same night

−53 pts

UPD second-term presidencyAl-Shabaab offensive governanceclan-indirect selection

Impact

Biggest harms and offsets: signed contributions to the formula-derived score, ranked by size.

Biggest harms

Lowers the score
Editorial assessment (context, not the score)

The heaviest documented costs sit on the selection method and the war file, not on a personality adjective.

First, the 15 May 2022 runoff. 214–110 among MPs. One-person-one-vote was not used. BBC recorded 327 voters. Farmaajo conceded. He is unresolved.

Second, Al-Shabaab and federal fights. Offensives were announced. This page does not invent a unique KIA. Terror-org leaders are not minted.

Confidence is high on the 214–110 oath, and medium where later offensive tallies sit without a named census. This paragraph is an assessment of those paths, not a substitute number.

Indicators affected

Sorted by the size of this person’s signed contribution. The observed state is the indicator’s own reading, not this person’s doing.

Accountability & contradictions

Claims against the record, the type of responsibility, and what is disputed.

Responsibility

What could change this assessment

  • Lifetime coverage has not been assessed: the record reflects stored facts only (2022).

Causal path

Person → Fact → Driver → Indicator. Select a path to inspect its factors; the full network opens on demand.

  1. PersonHassan Sheikh Mohamud
  2. FactParliament elects Mohamud 214–110; he is sworn the same night
  3. DriverElectoral Integrity and Competitiveness
  4. IndicatorHaving a say in government
−53 pts

Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact −1 · Driver weight 0.56 · Driver → indicator 0.8 · Indicator importance 0.8 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1

Evidence & methodology

How the record is sourced and how the score is derived.

1 of 1 linked fact verified, drawing on 1 distinct source (2022).

Sources include Reuters.

Sources

  1. 1.Reuters — Mohamud 214–110 over Farmaajo; sworn in the hangar, 15–16 May 2022Reuters

The score is formula-derived (Factrail formula v1, version 1.0.0), not an editorial verdict. Read the methodology.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 1

Expert analysis

An excerpt; the full analysis opens on request.

Identity and office

Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has been president of Somalia since 15 May 2022. He remains commander at apply, with a disputed term clock since May 2026. He does not write an AUSSOM resolution.

The ballot file is official. Parliament elected him 214–110 on 15 May 2022 (Reuters (opens in a new tab); BBC (opens in a new tab)). He was sworn immediately. Farmaajo is unresolved.

The war file is operations without a unique size. This page does not invent KIA. Al-Shabaab leaders are not minted as Person.

Documented benefits

Taking districts from Al-Shabaab can be stored with dates. They are not a unique recovered-district size and not a rebate of the hangar runoff.

Contributions and limits of responsibility

He won the runoff and was sworn. SNA executes. AUSSOM neighbours. Sharing execution is not a reason to drop 15 May 2022. It is a reason not to invent KIA.

Causal chain through facts

The 2022 runoff strengthens the owned Al-Shabaab-and-federalism driver and weakens electoral integrity relative to universal suffrage. They do not hang on ukraine-war, eastern-drc-m23-rdf, territorial-revisionism, or Soviet state-repression.

What the score does not say

This page does not promise an exact KIA census. Direction is not forced. Criticism-first living-ruler impacts pull negative unless documented constructive acts dominate. A later genuine one-person-one-vote contest would be a different fact with a different date.

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