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From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected

From Ad Simplicianum (396) through the anti-Pelagian years, Augustine teaches that grace elects. In the causal graph this event strengthens Political Polarization, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

Read the full account

From Ad Simplicianum (396) through the anti-Pelagian years, Augustine teaches that grace elects. The instrument is that predestination heading as public Latin. Later Reformation splits under an Augustinian name are reception, not a Hippo ballot. He presents the teaching as Paul, not as a municipal register of the damned. Augustine of Hippo's documented role is: He wrote the doctrine. Later Augustinians and Calvinists reused it. He did not sit at Dordrecht. High on the 396–430 texts.

Context

Simplicianus is again the addressee of the early systematic turn. Sharing later uses with Luther and Calvin is allowed as influence, not as co-authorship of 396. The two-cities book is a different political theology. Letter 93 is church-coercion, not this election-file. The setting of From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected is the public file around 0396-06-01. Driver political-polarization is attached because the significance names a mechanism from this act, not because a standing list needed coverage.

If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here.

Why it matters

Worsening path from From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected on 0396-06-01. A public election-doctrine that splits the saved and the left is a polarisation path, including later confessional splits. The welfare reading on this path is worsening.

Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, museums, and adaptations are not converted into extra lifetime acts.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Augustine Of Hippo

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    responsibility level 0.36 · verified

    He wrote the doctrine. Later Augustinians and Calvinists reused it. He did not sit at Dordrecht. High on the 396–430 texts.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactFrom Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected
    2. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
    3. weakensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 0.35 · Effect from 1 June 396 · verified

    A public election-doctrine that splits the saved and the left is a polarisation path, including later confessional splits.

    • Having a say in government

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.16 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

    • Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.16 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.

      Normal is zero · any amount = worse

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy — AugustineInternet Encyclopedia of Philosophy · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Augustine, original sin / graceStanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

Official locator: Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Augustine, grace and predestination at https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/augustine/ (opens in a new tab) (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy). Independent locator: Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Augustine at https://iep.utm.edu/augustin/ (opens in a new tab) (Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy). Official carrier: Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Augustine, grace and predestination (https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/augustine/ (opens in a new tab); Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy). Independent carrier: Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Augustine (https://iep.utm.edu/augustin/ (opens in a new tab); Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy).

Established: a sourced public record of From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected under 0396-06-01 for Augustine of Hippo. Established: a sourced public record of From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected under 0396-06-01.

That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself.

Confidence is stated on the impact path, not hidden in adjectives. Those are later users. Original sin is a neighbouring status-heading. Mixed effects of From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected are separate paths.

Shared responsibility is part of From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected. Naming Augustine of Hippo does not delete co-authors, institutions, or later transmitters. The lag from 0396-06-01 to any measured indicator is not treated as zero. Alternative explanations — weather, other armies, later statutes, or independent cultural change — remain live where the sources do not close them.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorAugustine Of Hippo
  2. contributed toFactFrom Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected
  3. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
  4. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). From Ad Simplicianum onward Augustine teaches a grace that elects without a symmetric civic account of the unelected. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/au-predestination

https://factrail.ai/facts/au-predestination

Accessed 16 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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