China tightened fertilizer export controls from mid-2021 into 2022
Dated 5 October 2021: China tightened fertilizer export controls from mid-2021 into 2022. In the causal graph this event weakens Fertilizer Availability, a driver that weakens Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population) — a worsening welfare path.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactChina tightened fertilizer export controls from mid-2021 into 2022
- weakensDriverFertilizer Availability
- weakensIndicators (2)Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
provisional weight · verified
Weakens · 61% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Weakens · 55% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
27.9% · 19.9 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 21.5% to 27.9%.
Above normal = worse
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactChina tightened fertilizer export controls from mid-2021 into 2022
- weakensDriverFertilizer Availability
- weakensIndicatorPoverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). China tightened fertilizer export controls from mid-2021 into 2022. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/china-phosphate-urea-export-curbs-2021
https://factrail.ai/facts/china-phosphate-urea-export-curbs-2021
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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