Loeb Polybius prints a Carthaginian war machine of mercenaries and subject peoples
Printed mercenary-machine is not a 218 BCE payroll scan. In the causal graph this event strengthens Institutional Corruption, a driver that strengthens Political corruption index — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
A fused money-and-war office is an opacity path of medium confidence: who was owed, who was expendable.
Context
Not a unique embezzlement verdict. A received coalition-army as later told.
Hannibal is not the sole author of every later object, law, or museum label that uses the name. Shared work with courts, excavators, printers, spouses, officials, and later states does not erase a documented role, and it does not make an ancient person the signer of a twentieth-century statute.
Why it matters
Printed mercenary-machine is not a 218 BCE payroll scan.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Hannibal
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.32 · verified
Named Carthaginian general as heading of later annalistic epic. Polybius, Livy, and later staff colleges publish the instrument.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactLoeb Polybius prints a Carthaginian war machine of mercenaries and subject peoples
- strengthensDriverInstitutional Corruption
- strengthensIndicators (3)Political corruption index
impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 1 August 1922 · verified
Printed mercenary-machine is not a 218 BCE payroll scan.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.3 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.76)
Observed
0.48 score from 0 to 1 · 0.29 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.4 score from 0 to 1 to 0.48 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.25 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.62)
Observed
56.1 Score · 13.7 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 57 Score to 56.1 Score.
Above normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.2 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.5)
Observed
42.5 index score (0-100) · 7.53 below the normal line (2025)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Livius.org — HannibalLivius.org / Jona Lendering · High credibility · verified
- 2.Harvard / Loeb — Polybius, The HistoriesHarvard University Press · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Polybius English describes hired and subject contingents.
Not established: a unique Factrail-original body count, or a recovered 216 BCE civil-registry file.
Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, and museums are not converted into extra lifetime acts. That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself. Confidence is stated on the impact path. A later English edition is not a recovered autograph. If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here. Confidence is stated on the impact path.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorHannibal
- contributed toFactLoeb Polybius prints a Carthaginian war machine of mercenaries and subject peoples
- strengthensDriverInstitutional Corruption
- strengthensIndicatorPolitical corruption index
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Loeb Polybius prints a Carthaginian war machine of mercenaries and subject peoples. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-institutional-mercenary-machine
https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-institutional-mercenary-machine
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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