IHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority
On 17 November 2025 Iraq’s Independent High Electoral Commission issued final results of the 11 November parliamentary election: Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition won 46 of 329 seats, first place, with turnout about 56 percent.
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On 17 November 2025 Iraq’s Independent High Electoral Commission issued final results of the 11 November parliamentary election: Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition won 46 of 329 seats, first place, with turnout about 56 percent. Reuters recorded the commission’s figures. The Coordination Framework still treated itself as the largest bloc.
Context
Sadr boycotted. Maliki’s State of Law took 29 seats. He did not sit as IHEC.
11 November 2025 polling is parent. 2026 Framework succession is a child. Keep IHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority on 2025-11-17 separate from neighbouring 27 October 2022 confidence vote, 11 November 2025 election, 17 November 2025 IHEC 46 seats, and 2026 Framework succession.
The prime minister of Iraq chairs cabinet and names ministers when the largest parliamentary bloc allows. He does not sit as every Popular Mobilisation Forces brigade, as Muqtada al-Sadr, as CENTCOM, or as the Coordination Framework. This run does not mint Sadr, Maliki, Khamenei, or militia heads.
Why it matters
The path is militia-balance: a completed first-place tally that still could not take the chair from the Framework.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani
PersonDirect responsibility
verified
IHEC tallied. Voters cast. He led the list. The Framework still claimed bloc primacy.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactIHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority
- strengthensDriverAl-Sudani Coordination Framework militia-balanced premiership
- strengthensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 1 · Effect from 17 November 2025 · verified
A first-place 46-seat tally that still left the premiership to Framework bargaining is a dated strengthening of militia-balance politics.
- Worse
Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
via Al-Sudani Coordination Framework militia-balanced premiership
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.55 (weight 1 × strength 0.55)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.45 (weight 1 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.61 score from 0 to 1 · 0.13 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2019–2024: rose from 0.6 score from 0 to 1 to 0.61 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.al-sudani-militia-balance observation 2025-11-17Council of Representatives of Iraq · High credibility · verified
- 2.IHEC — 17 November 2025 final parliamentary results neighbourhood, Reconstruction and Development 46 seatsIndependent High Electoral Commission of Iraq · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Independent High Electoral Commission of Iraq carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: IHEC gave Reconstruction and Development 46 seats on 17 November 2025, first place in a 329-member chamber.
Not established: That 46 seats were a second-term mandate, or a unique later voter-integer as Contribution.size.
Voters cast. He led the list. The Framework still claimed bloc primacy.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies IHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority, not a later speech about IHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to IHEC tallied. Voters cast. He led the list. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorMohammed Shia' al-Sudani
- contributed toFactIHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority
- strengthensDriverAl-Sudani Coordination Framework militia-balanced premiership
- strengthensIndicatorPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). IHEC gives al-Sudani’s list 46 seats, first place, short of a majority. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/iq-sudani-ihec-2025
https://factrail.ai/facts/iq-sudani-ihec-2025
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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