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The 20–21 June 1791 flight to Varennes is a completed failed escape that publicly broke the constitutional-monarchy file

The flight converted many constitutional monarchists. Lived 1755–1793; queen consort from 1774. In the causal graph this event strengthens Political Polarization, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

The king headed the departure; she was a principal adult in the coach. Fersen’s logistical association is documented in later studies without being stored here as a bedroom Fact.

Context

The flight converted many constitutional monarchists. That is the polarisation path.

Marie-Antoinette’s documented role is bounded by other offices and collaborators named in the sources below.

Lived 1755–1793; queen consort from 1774. Cake is a later slogan, not a sourced utterance. The Diamond Necklace is allegation and image. Fiscal crisis is not stored as her unique coefficient. Complex contribution is required.

Why it matters

A completed public flight-and-arrest is a polarisation path.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactThe 20–21 June 1791 flight to Varennes is a completed failed escape that publicly broke the constitutional-monarchy file
    2. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
    3. weakensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 0.5 · Effect from 21 June 1791 · verified

    A completed public flight-and-arrest is a polarisation path.

    • Having a say in government

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.23 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

    • Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.23 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.

      Normal is zero · any amount = worse

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Britannica — Marie-AntoinetteEncyclopaedia Britannica · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.Château de Versailles — Marie-AntoinetteÉtablissement public du château, du musée et du domaine national de Versailles · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

Britannica and palace lives print 20–21 June 1791 as the royal family’s flight and arrest at Varennes.

Britannica and Versailles independently describe Varennes.

Established: 20–21 June 1791 flight as calendared. Not established: every pamphlet motive as inner diary.

Marie-Antoinette did not file a later UNESCO form, a later Loeb colophon, or a later museum label as a personal act.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorMarie-Antoinette
  2. contributed toFactThe 20–21 June 1791 flight to Varennes is a completed failed escape that publicly broke the constitutional-monarchy file
  3. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
  4. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). The 20–21 June 1791 flight to Varennes is a completed failed escape that publicly broke the constitutional-monarchy file. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ma-varennes-1791

https://factrail.ai/facts/ma-varennes-1791

Accessed 17 October 2026.

By the · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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