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First Rutte cabinet takes office with PVV confidence and supply

On 14 October 2010 Rutte I took office as a VVD-CDA minority with Geert Wilders’ PVV providing confidence. In the causal graph this event strengthens Political Polarization, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

On 14 October 2010 Rutte I took office as a VVD-CDA minority with Geert Wilders’ PVV providing confidence. The deal later collapsed over budget cuts. It is a completed coalition act.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Mark Rutte

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    responsibility level 0.65 · verified

    He negotiated the deal. Wilders withdrew in 2012. The Kamer still had to vote budgets.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactFirst Rutte cabinet takes office with PVV confidence and supply
    2. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
    3. weakensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 14 October 2010 · verified

    Normalising confidence-and-supply with an anti-Islam party increases bloc polarisation.

    • Having a say in government

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

    • Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.

      Normal is zero · any amount = worse

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Reuters — Rutte takes office with Wilders supportReuters · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.Rijksoverheid — 2021 cabinet resignationGovernment of the Netherlands · High credibility · verified

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorMark Rutte
  2. contributed toFactFirst Rutte cabinet takes office with PVV confidence and supply
  3. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
  4. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). First Rutte cabinet takes office with PVV confidence and supply. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/nl-rutte-i-pvv-2010

https://factrail.ai/facts/nl-rutte-i-pvv-2010

Accessed 15 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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