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policyVerified

PVV provides confidence and supply to Rutte’s first cabinet

From 14 October 2010 PVV supported a VVD-CDA minority. The deal collapsed in 2012 over budget cuts. In the causal graph this event strengthens Political Polarization, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

From 14 October 2010 PVV supported a VVD-CDA minority. The deal collapsed in 2012 over budget cuts. Confidence-and-supply is a completed coalition act.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Geert Wilders

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    responsibility level 0.6 · verified

    He signed the gedoogakkoord. Rutte ran the cabinet. Wilders withdrew in 2012.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactPVV provides confidence and supply to Rutte’s first cabinet
    2. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
    3. weakensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 14 October 2010 · verified

    Normalising confidence-and-supply with an anti-Islam party increases bloc polarisation.

    • Having a say in government

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

    • Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score

      via Political Polarization

      Worse

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.

      Normal is zero · any amount = worse

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Reuters — Rutte takes office with Wilders supportReuters · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.Rijksoverheid — 2021 cabinet resignationGovernment of the Netherlands · High credibility · verified

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorGeert Wilders
  2. contributed toFactPVV provides confidence and supply to Rutte’s first cabinet
  3. strengthensDriverPolitical Polarization
  4. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). PVV provides confidence and supply to Rutte’s first cabinet. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/nl-wilders-rutte-i-2010

https://factrail.ai/facts/nl-wilders-rutte-i-2010

Accessed 15 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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