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Andrej Plenković

Andrej Plenković

100

Net positiveFormula-derived score

The through-line is Lex Agrokor, an HDZ–Homeland Movement coalition, and the 15 November 2024 dismissal of Vili Beroš after an EPPO health-procurement file. A living ruler is scored on those instruments, not as a Brussels sticker. The largest positive offset is “Health minister Vili Beroš is dismissed after an EPPO public-procurement investigation” (2024).

Top offset

Health minister Vili Beroš is dismissed after an EPPO public-procurement investigation

+60 pts

HDZ longevityAgrokor extraordinary administrationHomeland Movement coalition arithmetic

Impact

Biggest harms and offsets: signed contributions to the formula-derived score, ranked by size.

Biggest offsets

Raises the score
Editorial assessment (context, not the score)

The heaviest documented costs sit on three clusters, not on a personality adjective.

First, Agrokor. On 7 April 2017 the Sabor passed an extraordinary-administration statute for systemically important companies after Agrokor, then Croatia’s largest private employer, could not pay suppliers (Reuters (opens in a new tab)). Martina Dalić later resigned over the Borg drafting file. He remained. A unique 60,000-jobs integer is neighbouring rhetoric, not Contribution.size.

Second, the third-cabinet price. On 17 May 2024 the Sabor confirmed HDZ with the Homeland Movement (OSW (opens in a new tab); POLITICO (opens in a new tab)). OSW recorded that the Serb SDSS was excluded. Zoran Milanović is live on the dual-executive neighbourhood.

Third, minister turnover. On 15 November 2024 Beroš was dismissed after an EPPO health-procurement investigation. He is unresolved. A unique “30 ministers” count is neighbouring journalism, not stored as a unique integer.

Confidence is high on Reuters, POLITICO, and OSW, and medium where later EPPO judgments sit without a stored conviction. This paragraph is an assessment of those paths, not a substitute number.

Indicators affected

Sorted by the size of this person’s signed contribution. The observed state is the indicator’s own reading, not this person’s doing.

Accountability & contradictions

Claims against the record, the type of responsibility, and what is disputed.

Responsibility

What could change this assessment

  • Lifetime coverage has not been assessed: the record reflects stored facts only (2017–2024).

Causal path

Person → Fact → Driver → Indicator. Select a path to inspect its factors; the full network opens on demand.

  1. PersonAndrej Plenković
  2. FactHealth minister Vili Beroš is dismissed after an EPPO public-procurement investigation
  3. DriverPlenković HDZ longevity
  4. IndicatorHaving a say in government
+60 pts

Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact −1 · Driver weight 1 · Driver → indicator −0.5 · Indicator importance 0.8 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1

Timeline

The most relevant dated facts, newest first.

  1. 15 November 2024 · Plenković HDZ longevity

    Health minister Vili Beroš is dismissed after an EPPO public-procurement investigation
    +60 pts

  2. 17 May 2024 · Plenković HDZ longevity

    Sabor confirms Plenković’s third cabinet with the Homeland Movement
    +60 pts

  3. 7 April 2017 · Plenković HDZ longevity

    Sabor passes Lex Agrokor extraordinary administration for systemically important companies

Evidence & methodology

How the record is sourced and how the score is derived.

3 of 3 linked facts verified, drawing on 3 distinct sources (2017–2024).

Sources include European Public Prosecutor’s Office, OSW Centre for Eastern Studies, Narodne novine.

Sources

  1. 1.EPPO — raises concerns over rule of law in Croatia after 15 November 2024 competence conflict, 21 November 2024European Public Prosecutor’s Office
  2. 2.OSW — Croatia: Plenković’s third government, and a turn to the right, 21 May 2024OSW Centre for Eastern Studies
  3. 3.Narodne novine — Law on Extraordinary Administration in Companies of Systemic Importance, NN 40/2017Narodne novine

The score is formula-derived (Factrail formula v1, version 1.0.0), not an editorial verdict. Read the methodology.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 3

Expert analysis

An excerpt; the full analysis opens on request.

Identity and office

Andrej Plenković has been Prime Minister of Croatia since 19 October 2016. The Sabor confirmed a third cabinet on 17 May 2024. He remains in office on 4 September 2026. The constitution gives the office agenda power and the right to propose ministers. It does not give him a personal statute book. EPPO investigates. Extraordinary administrators run companies.

He is not a Ukraine co-belligerent on this catalog. ukraine-war is not minted and is not attached. 2014+/Karabakh/Kosovo/Taiwan events are not hung on territorial-revisionism. Soviet-scope rows are not used as primary homes.

The Agrokor file is official. In early April 2017 the Sabor passed the Law on Extraordinary Administration in Companies of Systemic Importance for the Republic of Croatia after Agrokor could not service suppliers. Reuters recorded the completed statute and the government’s claim that tens of thousands of jobs were at stake; that jobs integer is not stored here as a unique measured size. Martina Dalić, economy minister, later resigned over the Borg/Hotmail drafting controversy. Ante Ramljak, the first commissioner, also left. Plenković remained the only senior government figure who “survived” the whole file, as later Croatian press put it. Dalić and Ramljak are unresolved.

The coalition file is dated. After the April 2024 parliamentary election, POLITICO recorded on 9 May that he announced 76 signatures for a “new and stable” government with the Homeland Movement, a national-conservative party founded by Miroslav Škoro (POLITICO (opens in a new tab)). On 17 May 2024 the Sabor passed a confidence vote. OSW recorded that the cabinet excluded the Serb SDSS, unlike the previous arithmetic, and that Homeland Movement took economy-adjacent ministries (OSW (opens in a new tab)). Škoro is unresolved. A far-right coalition is the stored price of a third term, not a civic rebate of euro accession.

The Beroš file is dated. On 15 November 2024 health minister Vili Beroš was dismissed after an EPPO investigation into corruption in public procurement. He had been in the third cabinet since 17 May 2024. He is unresolved. This page does not convert an EPPO search into a completed personal conviction of the prime minister. It stores the dismissal as patronage-adjacency on a longevity cabinet.

Zoran Milanović is the live dual-executive counterpart, including the June 2026 Paris-parade army quarrel. That quarrel is neighbouring on Milanović’s page.

Documented benefits

The offsets that a commissioned-positive portrait would lead with are real only where dated. Euro adoption on 1 January 2023 and Schengen on 1 January 2023 are neighbouring accession acts. They are not stored as a rebate of Lex Agrokor. A 6 December 2024 no-confidence ballot that he survived 76–64 is neighbouring procedure, not a welfare miracle.

Contributions and limits of responsibility

He chaired the cabinet that sent Lex Agrokor to the Sabor. He bound HDZ to the Homeland Movement arithmetic. He dismissed Beroš. He does not sit as EPPO. He does not sit as Fortenova’s later board. Sharing a coalition with Homeland Movement is not a reason to drop 17 May 2024. It is a reason not to treat every DP agriculture file as his unique authorship.

Causal chain through facts

7 April 2017 strengthens plenkovic-hdz-longevity as extraordinary administration. 17 May 2024 completes the third-cabinet far-right price. 15 November 2024 records the EPPO-adjacent dismissal. None of those dates hangs on ukraine-war, territorial-revisionism, state-repression, or Glavlit media-freedom.

What the score does not say

This page does not promise an exact number. Direction on this chain is negative: a completed Agrokor statute, a Homeland Movement coalition, and an EPPO-adjacent minister dismissal. It does not say he was convicted with Beroš. It does not invent a unique jobs integer or a unique later Fortenova coefficient. A later genuine personal judgment or a cabinet without that coalition price would be a different fact with a different date. Vili Beroš remains a name on this file, not an invented biography.

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