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Net harmfulFormula-derived score
Not a climate clerk above the exploration line. The largest negative contribution to the formula-derived score is “Centre Party quits Støre government over EU energy directives” (2025).
Biggest harms and offsets: signed contributions to the formula-derived score, ranked by size.
via Støre Labour oil → Having a say in government
30 January 2025 · Direct contribution
The heaviest documented costs sit on two clusters, not on a personality adjective.
First, the appointment. On 14 October 2021 the King appointed Støre’s Labour–Centre government (Regjeringen.no (opens in a new tab); Reuters (opens in a new tab)). Reuters recorded continued oil-and-gas exploration for the next four years. Erna Solberg is unresolved as predecessor.
Second, the rupture. On 30 January 2025 Centre quit over three EU energy-package directives. Reuters recorded that almost half the cabinet left (Reuters (opens in a new tab)). Vedum is unresolved. Labour continued as a one-party minority and won a second term on 8 September 2025 still developing oil and gas.
Confidence is high on the appointment and the 30 January quit, and medium where “climate action” is programme language rather than a gazette. This paragraph is an assessment of those paths, not a substitute barrel count.
Sorted by the size of this person’s signed contribution. The observed state is the indicator’s own reading, not this person’s doing.
−66 pts to the score
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
Above normal = better · 2025 · 1 fact, full confidence · formula deviation factor −3
Claims against the record, the type of responsibility, and what is disputed.
Responsibility
What could change this assessment
Person → Fact → Driver → Indicator. Select a path to inspect its factors; the full network opens on demand.
Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact 1 · Driver weight 1 · Driver → indicator −0.55 · Indicator importance 0.8 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1
The most relevant dated facts, newest first.
30 January 2025 · Støre Labour oil
Centre Party quits Støre government over EU energy directives14 October 2021 · Støre Labour oil
King appoints Støre’s Labour–Centre government; exploration to continueHow the record is sourced and how the score is derived.
2 of 2 linked facts verified, drawing on 2 distinct sources (2021–2025).
Sources include Government of Norway.
Sources
The score is formula-derived (Factrail formula v1, version 1.0.0), not an editorial verdict. Read the methodology.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 2
An excerpt; the full analysis opens on request.
Jonas Gahr Støre has been prime minister of Norway since 14 October 2021. He remains prime minister on 5 September 2026. The office can accept a royal appointment and lose a coalition partner. It does not give him a unique later barrel integer.
He is not a Ukraine co-belligerent on this catalog. ukraine-war is not minted and is not attached. 2014+/Karabakh/Kosovo/Taiwan events are not hung on territorial-revisionism. Soviet-scope rows are not used as primary homes.
The appointment file is dated. On 14 October 2021 the King in Council of State appointed the Støre government after Erna Solberg’s resignation (Regjeringen.no (opens in a new tab); Reuters (opens in a new tab)). It was Labour and Centre. Reuters recorded that the country would continue to explore for oil and gas in the next four years. Marte Mjøs Persen was named petroleum and energy minister. Solberg is named as predecessor. She is not minted.
The rupture file is 30 January 2025. Centre leader Trygve Slagsvold Vedum announced the party would leave over three EU energy-package directives (Reuters (opens in a new tab)). Almost half the cabinet departed. Labour governed alone. Vedum is not minted. The government’s historical note records Centre leaving in early 2025.
The second-term file is 8 September 2025. Labour won; Progress scored its best-ever result. Reuters recorded that Støre would face choices on oil investments and the wealth fund, and that some allies wanted a phase-out of exploration. December 2025 budget talks still had Labour saying it would keep developing oil and gas.
The offsets that a commissioned-positive portrait would lead with are real only where dated. A reported two-trillion-dollar fund is a reported stock, not invented as size. Re-election in September 2025 is a completed ballot, not a rebate of 30 January 2025.
He accepted the 14 October 2021 appointment. He fronted continued exploration. He continued as a one-party minority after Centre quit. He does not sit as Vedum. Sharing the first cabinet with Centre is not a reason to drop 30 January 2025.
14 October 2021 opens the oil-labour file. 30 January 2025 records the energy-directive rupture. None of those dates hangs on ukraine-war, territorial-revisionism, or Glavlit. He connects to the mechanism only through dated facts.
This page does not promise an exact number. Direction on this chain is negative: a completed oil-exploring Labour minority, then a completed rupture on EU energy directives, then a second term still developing oil and gas. It does not invent a unique barrel integer. A later genuine contest would be a different fact with a different date. Vedum and Solberg remain names on this file, not invented biographies.
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