Argentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week
On 13 December 2023 Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced a large official-rate devaluation in President Milei’s first week. In the causal graph this event strengthens Inflationary Pressure, a driver that strengthens Global Consumer Price Inflation (annual %) — an improving welfare path.
Read the full account
On 13 December 2023 Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced a large official-rate devaluation in President Milei’s first week. Monthly inflation jumped.
Context
The inherited gap between official and parallel rates sat. Neighbouring DNU 70 is a week later. The BCRA implemented. He did not sit as every teller.
10 December oath is the parent. DNU 70/2023 is neighbouring. INDEC poverty 2024 is a child print.
The President of Argentina heads the federal executive, issues decrees of necessity and urgency subject to congressional review, and appoints the cabinet. He does not write INDEC prints, an IMF board decision, a US Treasury backstop, or a Central Bank balance sheet by himself. Congress, governors, the BCRA, and coalition deputies share specific files. Dollarisation announced is not dollarisation completed.
Why it matters
The path is household purchasing power and inflationary pressure: a completed devaluation is a dated price-level shock intended as a later disinflation parent.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Javier Milei
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.75 · verified
Caputo announced. The BCRA moved the official rate. He headed the cabinet that owned the shock.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactArgentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week
- strengthensDriverInflationary Pressure
- strengthensIndicatorGlobal Consumer Price Inflation (annual %)
impact weight 0.65 · Effect from 13 December 2023 · verified
The same shock is a dated near-term inflation jump, later monthly slowdown stored separately.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.52 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.8)
Observed
5.8 annual % change in CPI · 2.3 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal5 readings, 2020–2024: rose from 3.3 annual % change in CPI to 5.8 annual % change in CPI.
Moving normal line
- FactArgentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week
- weakensDriverHousehold Purchasing Power
- weakensIndicators (2)Global Consumer Price Inflation (annual %)
impact weight 0.7 · Effect from 13 December 2023 · verified
A completed large devaluation reduces real household purchasing power at the checkout.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.28 (weight 0.7 × strength 0.4)
Observed
5.8 annual % change in CPI · 2.3 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal5 readings, 2020–2024: rose from 3.3 annual % change in CPI to 5.8 annual % change in CPI.
Moving normal line
- Worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.24 (weight 0.7 × strength 0.35)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.La Nación — Luis Caputo anunció un dólar oficial a $800…, 12 December 2023 (in Spanish)Ministry of Economy of Argentina · High credibility · verified
- 2.Reuters — Argentina devalues peso in Milei’s first weekReuters · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Ministry of Economy of Argentina carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: 13 December 2023 official-rate devaluation, independently reported.
Not established: a unique later real-wage coefficient from that Wednesday, or that dollarisation was thereby completed.
The BCRA moved the official rate. He headed the cabinet that owned the shock.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Argentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week, not a later speech about Argentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to Caputo announced. The BCRA moved the official rate. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorJavier Milei
- contributed toFactArgentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week
- strengthensDrivers (2)Inflationary Pressure
- strengthensIndicatorGlobal Consumer Price Inflation (annual %)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Argentina devalues the peso in Milei’s first week. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ar-deval-2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/ar-deval-2023
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
Dispute this factNamed here, or represent someone who is? Request a right of reply.