Chopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears
On 16 February 1848 Chopin gave his last Paris concert at the Salle Pleyel, a carefully ticketed evening of his own works, ten days before Louis-Philippe’s fall. In the causal graph this event weakens Democratic Resilience, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
On 16 February 1848 Chopin gave his last Paris concert at the Salle Pleyel, a carefully ticketed evening of his own works, ten days before Louis-Philippe’s fall. He played; he did not stand on a barricade or write a franchise pamphlet. The row stores the political seating of a last Paris public, not a claim that piano music caused 1848.
Context
February 1848 in Paris was a franchise and street crisis. A closed piano evening for subscribers is a democratic-resilience colour because the city’s political public was elsewhere. That reading is an impact path, not a sneer at the programme. Teaching-income collapse after the revolution is a neighbouring labour row. A last Paris public that is still a subscription room, ten days before a throne falls, is a democratic-resilience colour because the franchise public was not in that hall. He played his own works; he did not write a franchise pamphlet. The night is political seating, not a claim that piano music caused the February days. Louis-Philippe still sat on the 16th; the street took the week after.
If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here.
Why it matters
Medium confidence on political effect, high on the date. Modest weight. He is not charged with suppressing the revolution.
Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, museums, and adaptations are not converted into extra lifetime acts.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Frédéric Chopin
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.32 · verified
He played a ticketed Pleyel programme for an elite public days before the February Revolution. He did not join the street. Complex salon artist in a revolutionary week.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactChopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears
- weakensDriverDemocratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
impact weight 0.35 · Effect from 16 February 1848 · verified
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.24 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.7)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.16 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.16 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Pleyel — house history and concert roomsPleyel · High credibility · verified
- 2.Britannica — Frédéric ChopinEncyclopaedia Britannica · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Pleyel’s house history locates the hall. Britannica independently dates the 16 February 1848 concert as his last in Paris and places it against the 1848 crisis. Official: https://www.pleyel.com/en (opens in a new tab). Independent: https://www.britannica.com/biography/Frederic-Chopin (opens in a new tab). The records establish date and last-Paris status. They do not establish a unique later democracy index, nor a claim that the programme listed barricade songs, nor that 26 April 1841 is this same night under another title.
Established: Chopin’s last Paris concert was 16 February 1848 at the Salle Pleyel. Not established: that the concert caused or prevented 1848, or that 1841 is this night. A contradictory 1848 playbill with another date would change the row.
That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself.
Confidence is stated on the impact path, not hidden in adjectives. 16 February 1848 is not 26 February 1832 and not a British recital. Mixed effects of Chopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears are separate paths.
Shared responsibility is part of Chopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears. Naming Frédéric Chopin does not delete co-authors, institutions, or later transmitters. The lag from 1848-02-16 to any measured indicator is not treated as zero. Alternative explanations — weather, other armies, later statutes, or independent cultural change — remain live where the sources do not close them.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorFrédéric Chopin
- contributed toFactChopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears
- weakensDriverDemocratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Chopin gives his last Paris concert on 16 February 1848 as revolution nears. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ch-last-paris-concert-1848
https://factrail.ai/facts/ch-last-paris-concert-1848
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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