Factrail global observation derived as the unweighted mean of all 142 country and jurisdiction scores published by WJP for 2024, rounded to the source table’s two-decimal precision. WJP does not publish this as a headline world average.
How to read it
Readings above the normal line are better than normal; readings below it are worse.
This indicator’s slice of Factrail’s verified causal web — the people, facts, drivers and welfare indicators it connects to. Select any node to trace a path.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
Insufficient history — only one observation, so there is no trend yet.
Measured value over time. Its norm (0.81 index score (0-1)) is far off this scale, marked at the top edge, so the series stays worse than normal throughout — the deviation badge shows the gap.
Each driver linked to this indicator, strongest pull first, on the same timeline above. Markers are the facts that moved that driver. These are modelled influences — treat them as correlational unless a documented causal edge is shown.
Eroding judicial independence lowers WJP factors for constraints on government powers and civil/criminal justice, dragging the overall index down.
Judicial Independence: lowers welfare, impact strength 70%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Higher collection intensity without contestable warrants chills civic remedies. WJP is higher-is-better. No unique subject integer is invented. ITU internet-user share is a disclosed surface proxy, not a query census.
Digital-Surveillance Intensity: lowers welfare, impact strength 60%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Independent courts, constraints and predictable legal process support a higher rule-of-law index. Strength basis: Direct conceptual match to judicial constraints, legality and due process; stronger than the generic civic calibration. Strength 0.58 is a qualitative pathway class from the pack, not an empirical coefficient; it creates no historical indicator observations.
Rule of Law: raises welfare, impact strength 58%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Coordinated falsehoods degrade civic judgement and trust in remedies. WJP is higher-is-better. No unique prevalence integer is invented here. The WGI VA series is a disclosed inverted proxy, not a complete definition.
Disinformation Prevalence: lowers welfare, impact strength 55%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Termination of the US extradition treaty removed a route for prosecuting trafficking-linked elites; adverse for rule-of-law value. Strength basis: Civic-peer governance calibration; extradition is only one component, so strength is moderate. Strength 0.45 follows the live Factrail civic/governance peer calibration (orban-illiberal-state-capture); it is a model parameter, not an empirical coefficient.
Castro Libre narco-legacy: lowers welfare, impact strength 45%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.Stronger democratic-accession and parliamentary control improves measured rule-of-law performance, with a multi-year lag.
Democratic Resilience: raises welfare, impact strength 45%, 0 linked facts on the timeline.