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DriverOngoing causal factorpolitical

State capture pressure

The continuing pressure exerted by concentrated private or partisan interests to bend public institutions to their benefit — capturing regulators, courts, procurement and oversight bodies. Its strongest welfare pathway: it weakens Corruption Perceptions Index — Georgia, a worse welfare reading. The most recent of its 8 recorded facts is “European Parliament greenlights the first EU-wide anti-corruption directive” (26 March 2026).

Read the full background

The continuing pressure exerted by concentrated private or partisan interests to bend public institutions to their benefit — capturing regulators, courts, procurement and oversight bodies. Higher pressure weakens government effectiveness and control of corruption; it is the antagonist force to enforcement capacity.

What it changes

Indicators this driver moves, strongest relation first. Relation strength is separate from the observed state.

  • Weakens · 70% impact strength

    Observed

    50 index score (0-100) · at the normal line (Dec 2025)

    At normal

    Above normal = better · Lag ~12 mo · Relation verified

  • Weakens · 65% impact strength

    Observed

    42.5 index score (0-100) · 7.53 below the normal line (Dec 2025)

    Worse than normal

    Above normal = better · Lag ~24 mo · Relation verified

  • Weakens · 45% impact strength

    Observed

    0.57 index score (0-1) · 0.23 below the normal line (2024)

    Worse than normal

    125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.5 index score (0-1) to 0.57 index score (0-1).

    Above normal = better · Lag ~12 mo · Relation verified

  • Weakens · 45% impact strength

    Observed

    0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)

    Worse than normal

    Above normal = better · Lag ~12 mo · Relation verified

Key facts moving this driver

Ranked by impact weight, then verification, then recency.

Accountability & contradictions

A view of the graph: opposing facts, the actors behind them, and what is disputed.

Driver over time

The dated facts recorded on this driver, oldest first.

Causal path

Facts move the driver; the driver moves indicators. Open the full network to inspect each link.

  1. Facts8 recorded
  2. moveDriverState capture pressure
  3. weakensIndicators (4)Corruption Perceptions Index — Georgia

Evidence

Review status of the facts behind this driver.

Review status · 8 factsReviewed 8

Documented Dec 2012 – Mar 2026

How Factrail grades evidence

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 8

Questions

Who is responsible for State capture pressure?

Factrail's graph links Roberta Metsola to State capture pressure through sourced facts.

When did State capture pressure start?

1 January 2004: Georgia's post-Rose-Revolution anti-corruption reforms.