Roman forces record success against rebellious Germans in 188 under Commodus’s reign as received
The 188 success is a frontier path of medium confidence on operational detail, high that the year is listed in Livius. In the causal graph this event strengthens Humanitarian Access, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
Context
Suppressing a rebellion can be a humanitarian-offset for provinces under raid and a cost to the rebels. Shared legates remain.
Commodus’s documented role is bounded by other offices and collaborators named in the sources below.
Livius lists 188 Roman victory over rebellious Germans. As with Britain, the emperor’s reign-year is not a diary of his presence in every camp. Dio’s epitome is a later senatorial carrier.
Why it matters
The 188 success is a frontier path of medium confidence on operational detail, high that the year is listed in Livius.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Commodus
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.4 · verified
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactRoman forces record success against rebellious Germans in 188 under Commodus’s reign as received
- strengthensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.5 · Effect from 1 January 188 · verified
The 188 success is a frontier path of medium confidence on operational detail, high that the year is listed in Livius.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.25 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.5)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Livius — CommodusLivius.org · High credibility · verified
- 2.Cassius Dio Book 73 (Loeb English) — CommodusLacusCurtius / University of Chicago · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Livius places a 188 German success in the reign chronology. Dio independently narrates frontier and domestic disorder under Commodus as a hostile literary file.
Commodus did not file a later UNESCO form, a later Loeb colophon, or a later museum label as a personal act.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorCommodus
- contributed toFactRoman forces record success against rebellious Germans in 188 under Commodus’s reign as received
- strengthensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Roman forces record success against rebellious Germans in 188 under Commodus’s reign as received. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/com-german-success-188
https://factrail.ai/facts/com-german-success-188
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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