IACHR identified a fourth phase closing democratic space
By December 2018 the IACHR described another phase of repression involving harassment of journalists, continued detention and prosecution of leaders and defenders, threats of expulsion, and formal measures that restricted expression, association and assembly. In the causal graph this event weakens Ortega–Murillo family autocracy, a driver that strengthens Voice and Accountability Gap from the Highest Governance Score — an improving welfare path.

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By December 2018 the IACHR described another phase of repression involving harassment of journalists, continued detention and prosecution of leaders and defenders, threats of expulsion, and formal measures that restricted expression, association and assembly. The Commission framed the development as an aggravation of repression and closure of democratic spaces rather than a return to normal political competition. Organization of American States (opens in a new tab)
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactIACHR identified a fourth phase closing democratic space
- weakensDriverOrtega–Murillo family autocracy
- strengthensIndicators (2)Voice and Accountability Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.9 · verified
- Better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.63 (weight 0.9 × strength 0.7)
Observed
45 Score · 45 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 43.8 Score to 45 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.55 (weight 0.9 × strength 0.61)
Observed
0.62 score from 0 to 1 · 0.23 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.35 score from 0 to 1 to 0.62 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.World Report 2020: NicaraguaHuman Rights Watch · verified
- 2.IACHR denounces aggravation of the repression and the closure of democratic spaces in NicaraguaInter-American Commission on Human Rights · verified
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactIACHR identified a fourth phase closing democratic space
- weakensDriverOrtega–Murillo family autocracy
- strengthensIndicatorVoice and Accountability Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). IACHR identified a fourth phase closing democratic space. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/democratic-space-closure-december-2018
https://factrail.ai/facts/democratic-space-closure-december-2018
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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