Rights monitors warned of a humanitarian crisis during the LNA siege of Derna
Dated 11 June 2018: Rights monitors warned of a humanitarian crisis during the LNA siege of Derna. In the causal graph this event strengthens Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion, a driver that strengthens Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score — a worsening welfare path.
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The humanitarian pressure accompanied a campaign to establish complete military control over eastern Libya.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactRights monitors warned of a humanitarian crisis during the LNA siege of Derna
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.69 · verified
- Worse
Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.43 (weight 0.69 × strength 0.62)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- Worse
Proportion of population that feel safe walking alone around the area they live after dark (%)
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.33 (weight 0.69 × strength 0.48)
Observed
71.3% · 15.3 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 69% to 71.3%.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Libya: Protect Civilians under Siege in DernaAmnesty International · verified
- 2.Libya: Battle for City Endangers CiviliansHuman Rights Watch · verified
What the sources establish
Amnesty International reported severe shortages of food, water and medical supplies as LNA forces advanced into Derna and called for humanitarian access and safe passage for civilians.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactRights monitors warned of a humanitarian crisis during the LNA siege of Derna
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicatorPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Rights monitors warned of a humanitarian crisis during the LNA siege of Derna. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/derna-humanitarian-crisis-lna-siege-2018
https://factrail.ai/facts/derna-humanitarian-crisis-lna-siege-2018
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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