Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol
On 23 August 1939 Ribbentrop and Molotov signed a non-aggression pact with a secret protocol dividing eastern Europe. In the causal graph this event weakens Humanitarian Access, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — an improving welfare path.
Read the full account
On 23 August 1939 Ribbentrop and Molotov signed a non-aggression pact with a secret protocol dividing eastern Europe. Hitler authorised the German side. Adolf Hitler's documented role is: He authorised Ribbentrop to sign with Molotov. The secret protocol partitioned Poland and the Baltics. Stalin shares the instrument.
Context
Sharing the pact with Stalin/Molotov is required. Poland is the immediate object. The setting of Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol is the public file around 1939-08-23. Driver humanitarian-access is attached because the significance names a mechanism from this act, not because a standing list needed coverage.
Why it matters
High confidence on the documents. The welfare reading on this path is worsening.
If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Adolf Hitler
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.6 · verified
He authorised Ribbentrop to sign with Molotov. The secret protocol partitioned Poland and the Baltics. Stalin shares the instrument.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactGermany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol
- weakensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.6 · Effect from 23 August 1939 · verified
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.3 (weight 0.6 × strength 0.5)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.USHMM Holocaust Encyclopedia — Nazi PartyUnited States Holocaust Memorial Museum · High credibility · verified
- 2.Avalon Project — Program of the National Socialist German Workers' PartyYale Avalon Project · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Avalon carries pact and protocol texts. USHMM independently describes them. Official carrier: Avalon Project — German-Soviet Non-Aggression Pact and secret additional protocol, 23 August 1939 (https://avalon.law.yale.edu/ (opens in a new tab); Yale Avalon Project). Independent carrier: USHMM — Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact (https://encyclopedia.ushmm.org/ (opens in a new tab); United States Holocaust Memorial Museum).
Established: 23 August 1939 pact and protocol. Not established: that it is the 1941 invasion of the USSR. Established: a sourced public record of Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol under 1939-08-23.
Confidence is stated on the impact path, not hidden in adjectives. Mixed effects of Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol are separate paths.
Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, museums, and adaptations are not converted into extra lifetime acts.
That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself.
Shared responsibility is part of Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol. Naming Adolf Hitler does not delete co-authors, institutions, or later transmitters. The lag from 1939-08-23 to any measured indicator is not treated as zero. Alternative explanations — weather, other armies, later statutes, or independent cultural change — remain live where the sources do not close them.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorAdolf Hitler
- contributed toFactGermany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol
- weakensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Germany and the Soviet Union sign the non-aggression pact with a secret protocol. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/hitler-pact-1939
https://factrail.ai/facts/hitler-pact-1939
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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