ICC issued an arrest warrant for LNA commander Mahmoud al-Werfalli
The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Mahmoud al-Werfalli, a commander associated with the LNA's special forces, over alleged murders in and around Benghazi. In the causal graph this event strengthens Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion, a driver that strengthens Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score — a worsening welfare path.
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The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Mahmoud al-Werfalli, a commander associated with the LNA's special forces, over alleged murders in and around Benghazi.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactICC issued an arrest warrant for LNA commander Mahmoud al-Werfalli
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.68 · verified
- Worse
Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.42 (weight 0.68 × strength 0.62)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- Worse
Proportion of population that feel safe walking alone around the area they live after dark (%)
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.33 (weight 0.68 × strength 0.48)
Observed
71.3% · 15.3 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 69% to 71.3%.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Libya: Displaced Benghazi Families Prevented From ReturnHuman Rights Watch · verified
- 2.World Report 2018 — LibyaHuman Rights Watch · verified
What the sources establish
Human Rights Watch reported that eastern authorities did not subsequently publish results of the investigation they said Haftar had ordered.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactICC issued an arrest warrant for LNA commander Mahmoud al-Werfalli
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicatorPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). ICC issued an arrest warrant for LNA commander Mahmoud al-Werfalli. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/icc-warrant-mahmoud-al-werfalli-2017
https://factrail.ai/facts/icc-warrant-mahmoud-al-werfalli-2017
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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