LNA-affiliated forces used cluster munitions in a Tripoli residential area
Dated 2 December 2019: LNA-affiliated forces used cluster munitions in a Tripoli residential area. In the causal graph this event strengthens Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion, a driver that strengthens Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score — a worsening welfare path.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactLNA-affiliated forces used cluster munitions in a Tripoli residential area
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.66 · verified
- Worse
Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.41 (weight 0.66 × strength 0.62)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- Worse
Proportion of population that feel safe walking alone around the area they live after dark (%)
via Haftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.32 (weight 0.66 × strength 0.48)
Observed
71.3% · 15.3 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 69% to 71.3%.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Libya: Banned Cluster Munitions Used in TripoliHuman Rights Watch · verified
- 2.Libya: Q&A on an International Commission of InquiryHuman Rights Watch · verified
What the sources establish
Human Rights Watch found remnants of RBK-250 cluster bombs after an attack in a residential area near Tripoli's Airport Road and concluded that LNA-affiliated forces or their international supporters carried out the strike.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactLNA-affiliated forces used cluster munitions in a Tripoli residential area
- strengthensDriverHaftar LNA parallel power, Tripoli offensive and oil coercion
- strengthensIndicatorPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). LNA-affiliated forces used cluster munitions in a Tripoli residential area. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/lna-cluster-bomb-tripoli-residential-area-2019
https://factrail.ai/facts/lna-cluster-bomb-tripoli-residential-area-2019
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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