Protracted conflict kept millions of Syrians displaced even after major front lines stabilized
Dated 1 January 2019: Protracted conflict kept millions of Syrians displaced even after major front lines stabilized. In the causal graph this event weakens State Fragility in Conflict Zones, a driver that strengthens Under-five mortality rate (global) — an improving welfare path.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactProtracted conflict kept millions of Syrians displaced even after major front lines stabilized
- weakensDriverState Fragility in Conflict Zones
- strengthensIndicators (2)Under-five mortality rate (global)
provisional weight · verified
Strengthens · 81% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
37.4 deaths per 1,000 live births · 12.4 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 40 deaths per 1,000 live births to 37.4 deaths per 1,000 live births.
Above normal = worse
- Better
Strengthens · 74% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
47.8 Score · 47.8 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 47.4 Score to 47.8 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactProtracted conflict kept millions of Syrians displaced even after major front lines stabilized
- weakensDriverState Fragility in Conflict Zones
- strengthensIndicatorUnder-five mortality rate (global)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Protracted conflict kept millions of Syrians displaced even after major front lines stabilized. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/protracted-syria-conflict-kept-millions-displaced-after-front-lines-stabilized-2019-2023
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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