War between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces fractured state authority and drove mass displacement in 2023
Dated 1 January 2023: War between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces fractured state authority and drove mass displacement in 2023. In the causal graph this event weakens State Fragility in Conflict Zones, a driver that strengthens Under-five mortality rate (global) — an improving welfare path.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
No public contributors are listed for this fact.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactWar between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces fractured state authority and drove mass displacement in 2023
- weakensDriverState Fragility in Conflict Zones
- strengthensIndicators (2)Under-five mortality rate (global)
provisional weight · verified
Strengthens · 81% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
37.4 deaths per 1,000 live births · 12.4 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 40 deaths per 1,000 live births to 37.4 deaths per 1,000 live births.
Above normal = worse
- Better
Strengthens · 74% impact strength (driver → indicator)
Observed
47.8 Score · 47.8 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 47.4 Score to 47.8 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- FactWar between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces fractured state authority and drove mass displacement in 2023
- weakensDriverState Fragility in Conflict Zones
- strengthensIndicatorUnder-five mortality rate (global)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). War between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces fractured state authority and drove mass displacement in 2023. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/sudan-war-fractures-state-and-drives-mass-displacement-2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/sudan-war-fractures-state-and-drives-mass-displacement-2023
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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