Theodosius wages civil war in 388 against the western usurper Magnus Maximus
Civil war kills soldiers and civilians on both sides. Shared barbarian recruits are the same army reconstituted in 379. In the causal graph this event weakens Humanitarian Access, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — an improving welfare path.
Read the full account
Context
Civil war kills soldiers and civilians on both sides. Humanitarian harm is the path. Shared barbarian recruits are the same army reconstituted in 379. Restoration of Valentinian is a neighbouring offset row.
Theodosius I’s documented role is bounded by other offices and collaborators named in the sources below.
Britannica: victory over pagan usurpers includes the Maximus war. DIR narrates the 388 campaign.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Theodosius I
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.4 · verified
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactTheodosius wages civil war in 388 against the western usurper Magnus Maximus
- weakensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.5 · Effect from 1 July 388 · verified
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.25 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.5)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.De Imperatoribus Romanis — Theodosius ILoyola University Chicago · High credibility · verified
- 2.Britannica — Theodosius IEncyclopaedia Britannica · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Britannica and DIR independently record the 388 campaign that destroyed Maximus’s regime.
Theodosius I did not file a later UNESCO form, a later Loeb colophon, or a later museum label as a personal act. Keep three dates.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorTheodosius I
- contributed toFactTheodosius wages civil war in 388 against the western usurper Magnus Maximus
- weakensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Theodosius wages civil war in 388 against the western usurper Magnus Maximus. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/theo-maximus-war-388
https://factrail.ai/facts/theo-maximus-war-388
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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