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ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout

On 7 October 2024 ISIE president Farouk Bouasker announced preliminary results of the 6 October presidential election: Kais Saied 2,438,954 votes (90.69 percent), Ayachi Zammel 197,551 (7.35 percent), Zouhair Maghzaoui 52,903 (1.97 percent), turnout 28.8 percent of 9,753,217 registered. In the causal graph this event weakens Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

On 7 October 2024 ISIE president Farouk Bouasker announced preliminary results of the 6 October presidential election: Kais Saied 2,438,954 votes (90.69 percent), Ayachi Zammel 197,551 (7.35 percent), Zouhair Maghzaoui 52,903 (1.97 percent), turnout 28.8 percent of 9,753,217 registered. Zammel sat in prison for much of the campaign. This page does not invent a unique fraud integer.

Context

He ran. ISIE tabulated. Serious challengers were kept off the ballot or imprisoned. Zammel is unresolved.

6 October poll; 7 October ISIE preliminary; later final confirmation. Stored as one 7 October 2024 Fact. Keep ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout on 2024-10-07 separate from neighbouring 25 July, referendum, and 2024-return instruments.

The president of Tunisia is head of state. He can invoke Article 80, sack a prime minister, and accept an ISIE return. He does not write an ISIE decision as if he were the commission, and he does not invent a unique arrest integer here.

Why it matters

The path is electoral integrity: a completed 90.69 percent certification on 28.8 percent turnout against a jailed runner-up.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Kais Saied

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    verified

    He ran and was certified. ISIE tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the certification.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout
    2. weakensDriverElectoral Integrity and Competitiveness
    3. strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 1 · Effect from 7 October 2024 · verified

    A completed 90.69 percent return on 28.8 percent turnout is a dated weakening of electoral integrity.

    1. FactISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout
    2. strengthensDriverSaied 2021 power concentration
    3. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 1 · Effect from 7 October 2024 · verified

    A completed 2024 90.69 percent certification is a dated strengthening of 2021 power concentration.

    • Having a say in government

      via Saied 2021 power concentration

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.8 (weight 1 × strength 0.8)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.AP — Saied 90.7 percent; turnout 28.8 percent; Zammel recorded from prison, 7 October 2024Associated Press · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.L’Économiste Maghrébin — ISIE: Saied 90.69 percent, turnout 28.8 percent, 7 October 2024L’Économiste Maghrébin (recording ISIE) · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

L’Économiste Maghrébin (recording ISIE) carries the official instrument or communique. Associated Press records the same dated act independently.

Established: ISIE recorded 2,438,954 votes (90.69 percent) and 28.8 percent turnout on 7 October 2024.

Not established: A unique fraud integer, or that 90.69 percent is an ODIHR competitive finding.

ISIE tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the certification.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout, not a later speech about ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout.

Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He ran and was certified. ISIE tabulated. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorKais Saied
  2. contributed toFactISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout
  3. weakensDrivers (2)Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness
  4. strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). ISIE declares Saied winner with 90.69 percent on 28.8 percent turnout. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/tn-saied-election-2024

https://factrail.ai/facts/tn-saied-election-2024

Accessed 16 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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