Eskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak
In February 2023 Eskom imposed Stage-6 load-shedding as unplanned outages peaked. Ramaphosa had declared a national state of disaster on electricity in 2022 and appointed a minister of electricity. In the causal graph this event weakens Energy Security, a driver that strengthens Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population) — an improving welfare path.
Read the full account
In February 2023 Eskom imposed Stage-6 load-shedding as unplanned outages peaked. Ramaphosa had declared a national state of disaster on electricity in 2022 and appointed a minister of electricity.
Context
State capture of Eskom sat as parent. Neighbouring 16 May 2025 stop is a child. He did not sit as every unit operator.
Vulindlela 2020 is a parent reform. Load-shedding end 2025 is a child.
The President of South Africa heads the national executive, appoints Cabinet, and assents to bills. He does not write an Eskom generation print, an NPA charging decision, a DA court challenge, or a US executive order by himself. Phala Phala cash in a sofa is not a completed criminal verdict unless a court so holds.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Cyril Ramaphosa
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.75 · verified
Eskom generated. He owned NECOM and the electricity minister. Municipal distributors share last-mile.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactEskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak
- weakensDriverEnergy Security
- strengthensIndicators (4)Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
impact weight 0.8 · Effect from 10 February 2023 · verified
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.5 (weight 0.8 × strength 0.62)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.48 (weight 0.8 × strength 0.6)
Observed
7.97% of population aged 16 years or over · 5.2 above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal8 readings, 2018–2025: rose from 7.77% of population aged 16 years or over to 7.97% of population aged 16 years or over.
Above normal = worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.4 (weight 0.8 × strength 0.5)
Observed
91.6% of population · 8.4 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normal4 readings, 2020–2023: rose from 90.4% of population to 91.6% of population.
Above normal = better
All indicators on this path (4)
- Better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.38 (weight 0.8 × strength 0.48)
Observed
80 Years · 2.3 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normal6 readings, 2018–2023: rose from 79.5 Years to 80 Years.
Above normal = better
- FactEskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak
- weakensDriverHousehold Purchasing Power
- weakensIndicators (2)Global Consumer Price Inflation (annual %)
impact weight 0.55 · Effect from 10 February 2023 · verified
Rolling blackouts are a dated household-and-firm-cost instrument.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.22 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.4)
Observed
5.8 annual % change in CPI · 2.3 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal5 readings, 2020–2024: rose from 3.3 annual % change in CPI to 5.8 annual % change in CPI.
Moving normal line
- Worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.19 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.35)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — South Africa hit by worst power cuts on recordReuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.The Presidency — later public record of the Farlam/Marikana file under Ramaphosa’s careerThe Presidency of South Africa · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
The Presidency of South Africa carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: February 2023 Stage-6 peak, independently reported.
Not established: a unique later GDP coefficient from that week, or that sabotage uniquely authored every trip.
He owned NECOM and the electricity minister. Municipal distributors share last-mile.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Eskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak, not a later speech about Eskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to Eskom generated. Municipal distributors share last-mile. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorCyril Ramaphosa
- contributed toFactEskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak
- weakensDrivers (2)Energy Security
- strengthensIndicatorPoverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Eskom runs Stage-6 load-shedding at the 2023 crisis peak. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/za-loadshed-2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/za-loadshed-2023
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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