Net harmfulFormula-derived score
The through-line is the 2 July 2024 oath installing PVV ministers and the 3 June 2025 collapse when geert wilders quit over asylum. Not a technician firewall above the PVV programme. The largest negative contribution to the formula-derived score is “PVV quits Schoof cabinet over asylum; Schoof resigns” (2025).
Biggest harms and offsets: signed contributions to the formula-derived score, ranked by size.
via Schoof asylum cabinet → Having a say in government
3 June 2025 · Direct contribution
via Schoof asylum cabinet → Having a say in government
2 July 2024 · Direct contribution
The heaviest documented costs sit on two clusters, not on a personality adjective.
First, the oath. On 2 July 2024 King Willem-Alexander swore Schoof and the cabinet (Rijksoverheid (opens in a new tab); BBC (opens in a new tab)). PVV ministers entered office. Wilders is live. Rutte is live.
Second, the collapse. On 3 June 2025 Wilders quit over asylum. Schoof called it unnecessary and irresponsible and resigned (Reuters (opens in a new tab)). He remained demissionary until 23 February 2026. This page does not invent a unique asylum-stock integer.
Confidence is high on the oath and the 3 June resignation, and medium where “strictest ever” is coalition language rather than a single gazette. This paragraph is an assessment of those paths, not a substitute number.
Sorted by the size of this person’s signed contribution. The observed state is the indicator’s own reading, not this person’s doing.
−132 pts to the score
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
Above normal = better · 2024–2025 · 2 facts, full confidence · formula deviation factor −3
Claims against the record, the type of responsibility, and what is disputed.
Responsibility
What could change this assessment
Person → Fact → Driver → Indicator. Select a path to inspect its factors; the full network opens on demand.
Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact 1 · Driver weight 1 · Driver → indicator −0.55 · Indicator importance 0.8 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1
Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact 1 · Driver weight 1 · Driver → indicator −0.55 · Indicator importance 0.8 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1
The most relevant dated facts, newest first.
3 June 2025 · Schoof asylum cabinet
PVV quits Schoof cabinet over asylum; Schoof resigns2 July 2024 · Schoof asylum cabinet
Schoof sworn prime minister of a PVV–VVD–NSC–BBB cabinetHow the record is sourced and how the score is derived.
2 of 2 linked facts verified, drawing on 1 distinct source (2024–2025).
Sources include Rijksoverheid.
Sources
The score is formula-derived (Factrail formula v1, version 1.0.0), not an editorial verdict. Read the methodology.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 1
An excerpt; the full analysis opens on request.
Dick Schoof was prime minister of the Netherlands from 2 July 2024 to 23 February 2026. He is not prime minister on 4 September 2026. The office can swear a cabinet and resign. It does not give him PVV’s parliamentary group or a unique later asylum-stock integer.
He is not a Ukraine co-belligerent on this catalog. ukraine-war is not minted and is not attached. 2014+/Karabakh/Kosovo/Taiwan events are not hung on territorial-revisionism. Soviet-scope rows are not used as primary homes.
The oath file is dated. On 2 July 2024 the King swore the Schoof cabinet at Huis ten Bosch after 223 days of formation (Rijksoverheid (opens in a new tab); BBC (opens in a new tab)). PVV ministers were sworn for the first time. Geert Wilders stayed outside as kingmaker. Mark Rutte handed over. Coalition language was the strictest-ever asylum policy. That phrase is stored as reported programme, not as a unique later stock integer.
The collapse file is 3 June 2025. Wilders quit, accusing partners of failing to back tougher asylum rules. Schoof accused him of irresponsibility, said the collapse was unnecessary, and handed his resignation to King Willem-Alexander (Reuters (opens in a new tab)). PVV ministers left. The cabinet continued demissionary until 23 February 2026. Fleur Agema is named as PVV deputy PM to that date. She is not minted.
The offsets that a commissioned-positive portrait would lead with are real only where dated. NATO-summit caretaker continuity is neighbouring. A later Jetten cabinet is a different government’s fact.
He accepted the 2 July 2024 premiership. He fronted the PVV-backed cabinet. He resigned on 3 June 2025 after PVV quit. He does not sit as Wilders. Sharing the cabinet with VVD, NSC, and BBB is not a reason to drop 2 July 2024.
2 July 2024 opens the asylum-cabinet file. 3 June 2025 records the PVV exit and resignation. None of those dates hangs on ukraine-war, territorial-revisionism, or Glavlit. He connects to the mechanism only through dated facts.
This page does not promise an exact number. Direction on this chain is negative: a completed PVV-backed asylum cabinet under an independent PM, then a completed collapse on asylum. It does not invent a unique asylum-stock integer. A later genuine contest would be a different fact with a different date. Agema remains a name on this file, not an invented biography.
Dick Schoof's cabinet was sworn in on 2 July 2024 at Huis ten Bosch Palace. The Dutch government's official account (opens in a new tab) identifies the coalition as the Freedom Party (PVV), People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), New Social Contract (NSC) and Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB), with 16 ministers and 13 state secretaries. Schoof himself had no party affiliation, an unusual feature that separated the office of prime minister from the leaders of the coalition parties. The distribution of cabinet posts showed the coalition balance directly: the PVV supplied five ministers and four state secretaries; VVD and NSC each supplied four ministers and three state secretaries; BBB supplied two ministers and three state secretaries. Three new ministries were also created, including a Ministry of Asylum and Migration. These details defined the institutional problem Schoof had to manage from his first day: he was responsible for coordinating a cabinet whose parliamentary foundation depended on four distinct parties, while the largest coalition party's leader remained outside the premiership.
That structure broke down on 3 June 2025 when the PVV withdrew its support. The Dutch government announced (opens in a new tab) that Schoof tendered the resignation of all members of the government after the PVV leader concluded that his party would no longer support the cabinet in the House of Representatives. PVV-nominated ministers and state secretaries were granted immediate honourable discharge, while the King asked Schoof and the remaining ministers to continue carrying out duties considered necessary for the Kingdom. In his own statement that day (opens in a new tab), Schoof said that once one party withdrew, there was insufficient parliamentary support to continue the government's program. The episode gives the 2024 oath a clear institutional consequence: Schoof's technocratic, non-party position did not insulate the cabinet from coalition arithmetic. Less than a year after taking office, the withdrawal of one coalition partner converted the government into a caretaker administration.
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