Arce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff
On 8 November 2025 Rodrigo Paz began a presidential term, succeeding Luis Arce at the constitutional date. Paz had won the 19 October runoff against Jorge Quiroga after the 17 August first round ended nearly two decades of MAS dominance. In the causal graph this event strengthens Capacity for Peaceful Transfer of Power, a driver that weakens Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score — an improving welfare path.
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On 8 November 2025 Rodrigo Paz began a presidential term, succeeding Luis Arce at the constitutional date. Paz had won the 19 October runoff against Jorge Quiroga after the 17 August first round ended nearly two decades of MAS dominance. Fuel-shortage and Fondioc rows remain on other dates.
Context
Re-election had been declined in May. Paz is an unresolved person candidate. This run does not mint him.
17 August first round and 19 October runoff are parents. 10 December arrest is a later child. Store 8 November as Arce’s last presidential day. Keep Arce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff on 2025-11-08 separate from neighbouring 26 June 2024 palace hour, 14 November 2024 TCP MAS resolution, 14 May 2025 withdrawal, 17 August 2025 first round, 8 November 2025 handover, and 10 December 2025 arrest.
The president of Bolivia is head of state, head of government, and commander-in-chief. He can appoint military commanders, propose budgets, and stand as a MAS candidate. He does not sit as a TCP magistrate, a TSE precinct printer, or a BCB teller.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Luis Arce
PersonDirect responsibility
verified
TSE credentialed. The Assembly received the oath. Arce completed the term. Paz is unresolved.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactArce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff
- strengthensDriverCapacity for Peaceful Transfer of Power
- weakensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 1 · Effect from 8 November 2025 · verified
A completed constitutional handover after a competitive runoff is a dated strengthening of capacity for peaceful transfer of power.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.52 (weight 1 × strength 0.52)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.45 (weight 1 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.arce-mas-fracture observation 2025-08-17Órgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia · High credibility · verified
- 2.Órgano Electoral Plurinacional — 17 August 2025 general-election result neighbourhoodÓrgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Órgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: Arce left office on 8 November 2025; Paz had won the 19 October runoff after the August first round.
Not established: That the handover rebates fuel queues, or a unique later CPI coefficient from the oath hour.
The Assembly received the oath. Arce completed the term. Paz is unresolved.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Arce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff, not a later speech about Arce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to TSE credentialed. The Assembly received the oath. Arce completed the term. Paz is unresolved. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorLuis Arce
- contributed toFactArce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff
- strengthensDriverCapacity for Peaceful Transfer of Power
- weakensIndicatorPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Arce leaves office as Rodrigo Paz is sworn after the 2025 runoff. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/bo-arce-handover-2025
https://factrail.ai/facts/bo-arce-handover-2025
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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