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Union adopts the CAP strategic plans regulation

Dated 2 December 2021: Union adopts the CAP strategic plans regulation. In the causal graph this event weakens Tropical deforestation pressure, a driver that strengthens Global CO2 emissions per capita — an improving welfare path.

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

The Commission proposed the reform. Farmer income support remains the bulk of spending. Environmental groups called the final deal weaker than the proposal.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Ursula von der Leyen

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    responsibility level 0.45 · verified

    Commission proposal, Council and Parliament bargain. Agriculture remains a Council-heavy file.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactUnion adopts the CAP strategic plans regulation
    2. weakensDriverTropical deforestation pressure
    3. strengthensIndicators (2)Global CO2 emissions per capita
    Improving path

    impact weight 0.25 · Effect from 2 December 2021 · verified

    Eco-schemes can reduce harmful land-use pressure, but the final CAP still finances intensive production; confidence is low.

    • Global CO2 emissions per capita

      via Tropical deforestation pressure

      Better

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.1 (weight 0.25 × strength 0.4)

      Observed

      4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year · 2.43 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 4.71 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2023) and 4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2024).

      20232024

      Above normal = worse

    • Population-weighted PM2.5 air pollution exposure (global)

      via Tropical deforestation pressure

      Better

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.06 (weight 0.25 × strength 0.25)

      Observed

      32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) · 27.9 above the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      3 readings, 2021–2023: fell from 33.2 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) to 32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted).

      Above normal = worse

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Commission — CAP 2023-27Independent reporting · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.Regulation (EU) 2021/2115 — CAP strategic plansOfficial record · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

Regulation (EU) 2021/2115 of 2 December 2021 recast the common agricultural policy around national strategic plans, eco-schemes, and conditionality.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorUrsula von der Leyen
  2. contributed toFactUnion adopts the CAP strategic plans regulation
  3. weakensDriverTropical deforestation pressure
  4. strengthensIndicatorGlobal CO2 emissions per capita

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). Union adopts the CAP strategic plans regulation. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/eu-cap-strategic-plans-regulation-2021

https://factrail.ai/facts/eu-cap-strategic-plans-regulation-2021

Accessed 16 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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