Loeb Polybius and Livy print the Alps crossing as received, not as a GPS track
Polybius/Livy English print an army and animals forced over the Alps as received 218 BCE. In the causal graph this event strengthens Forced-Displacement Scale, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
Polybius/Livy English print an army and animals forced over the Alps as received 218 BCE. The dated carrier is that modern narrative.
Context
Later school-romance of the Alps is another row. This stores movement-as-war as later told.
Hannibal is not the sole author of every later object, law, or museum label that uses the name. Shared work with courts, excavators, printers, spouses, officials, and later states does not erase a documented role, and it does not make an ancient person the signer of a twentieth-century statute.
Why it matters
Printed Alps crossing is not a 218 BCE ISO itinerary file.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Hannibal
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.32 · verified
Named Carthaginian general as heading of later annalistic epic. Polybius, Livy, and later staff colleges publish the instrument.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactLoeb Polybius and Livy print the Alps crossing as received, not as a GPS track
- strengthensDriverForced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicators (2)People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 1 March 1922 · verified
Printed Alps crossing is not a 218 BCE ISO itinerary file.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.32 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.8)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.46)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Britannica — HannibalEncyclopaedia Britannica · High credibility · verified
- 2.Harvard / Loeb — Polybius, The HistoriesHarvard University Press · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Not established: a unique Factrail-original body count, or a recovered 216 BCE civil-registry file.
Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, and museums are not converted into extra lifetime acts. That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself. Confidence is stated on the impact path. A later English edition is not a recovered autograph. If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here. Confidence is stated on the impact path.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorHannibal
- contributed toFactLoeb Polybius and Livy print the Alps crossing as received, not as a GPS track
- strengthensDriverForced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Loeb Polybius and Livy print the Alps crossing as received, not as a GPS track. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-alps-as-received
https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-alps-as-received
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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