Loeb Polybius prints Roman sea-control as a squeeze on Carthaginian supply
Polybius English of naval pressure and closed supply is a later public text of squeeze. Sanctions-like sea-control is the path of medium confidence. In the causal graph this event strengthens Sanctions Pressure, a driver that strengthens Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population) — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
Polybius English of naval pressure and closed supply is a later public text of squeeze. Sanctions-like sea-control is the path of medium confidence. He is the commander trying to live inside it, not the author of a UN embargo.
Context
Zama follows a squeezed war as later told.
Hannibal is not the sole author of every later object, law, or museum label that uses the name. Shared work with courts, excavators, printers, spouses, officials, and later states does not erase a documented role, and it does not make an ancient person the signer of a twentieth-century statute.
Why it matters
Printed sea-squeeze is not an OFAC list.
Printed sea-squeeze is not an OFAC list.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Hannibal
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.24 · verified
Named Carthaginian general as heading of later annalistic epic. Polybius, Livy, and later staff colleges publish the instrument.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactLoeb Polybius prints Roman sea-control as a squeeze on Carthaginian supply
- strengthensDriverSanctions Pressure
- strengthensIndicators (4)Poverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
impact weight 0.35 · Effect from 1 March 1923 · verified
Printed sea-squeeze is not an OFAC list.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.26 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.74)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.19 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.53)
Observed
80 Years · 2.3 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normal6 readings, 2018–2023: rose from 79.5 Years to 80 Years.
Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.14 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.4)
Observed
5.8 annual % change in CPI · 2.3 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal5 readings, 2020–2024: rose from 3.3 annual % change in CPI to 5.8 annual % change in CPI.
Moving normal line
All indicators on this path (4)
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.07 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.2)
Observed
245k deaths per year · 195k above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normalAbove normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Britannica — HannibalEncyclopaedia Britannica · High credibility · verified
- 2.Harvard / Loeb — Polybius, The HistoriesHarvard University Press · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Not established: a unique Factrail-original body count, or a recovered 216 BCE civil-registry file.
Later competitions, monuments, translations, UNESCO listings, and museums are not converted into extra lifetime acts. That reading is an impact-path choice, not a property stored on the Fact itself. Confidence is stated on the impact path. A later English edition is not a recovered autograph. If a number is not in the two records named above, it is not supplied here. Confidence is stated on the impact path.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorHannibal
- contributed toFactLoeb Polybius prints Roman sea-control as a squeeze on Carthaginian supply
- strengthensDriverSanctions Pressure
- strengthensIndicatorPoverty headcount ratio at $3.00 a day (2021 PPP) (% of population)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Loeb Polybius prints Roman sea-control as a squeeze on Carthaginian supply. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-sanctions-roman-sea
https://factrail.ai/facts/ha-sanctions-roman-sea
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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