Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest
In February 2011 opposition leaders Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi were placed under house arrest after calling protests, a freeze that continued for years under Khamenei’s Leadership. The 2009 Green file sat in the background. In the causal graph this event weakens Democratic Resilience, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.
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In February 2011 opposition leaders Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi were placed under house arrest after calling protests, a freeze that continued for years under Khamenei’s Leadership.
Context
The 2009 Green file sat in the background. Security organs implemented. Neighbouring 2009 crackdown is the parent. He did not sit as a trial judge because no open trial sat.
June 2009 is the parent crackdown. Mahsa 2022 is a different generation.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is commander-in-chief and the highest constitutional authority. He does not write a US presidential strike order, an IAEA Board resolution, or a Hamas military plan. Presidents, the IRGC, and the Guardian Council implement and share specific files.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Ali Khamenei
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.65 · verified
Security organs detained them under his Leadership. No open trial sat. The 2009 file was the pretext.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactMir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest
- weakensDriverDemocratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
impact weight 0.65 · Effect from 14 February 2011 · verified
Freezing 2009’s opposition leaders without an open trial contracts remaining contestation.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.45 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.7)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.29 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.29 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
- FactMir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest
- strengthensDriverJudicial independence erosion (court capture)
- strengthensIndicators (4)Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.55 · Effect from 14 February 2011 · verified
House arrest without a public trial is a completed due-process failure.
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.4 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.72)
Observed
43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.39 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.7)
Observed
0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.38 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.69)
Observed
0.62 score from 0 to 1 · 0.25 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.37 score from 0 to 1 to 0.62 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
All indicators on this path (4)
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.17 (weight 0.55 × strength 0.3)
Observed
42.5 index score (0-100) · 7.53 below the normal line (2025)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — Iran opposition leaders under house arrestReuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.Leader’s office — 2009 election and Friday-prayer line backing the resultOffice of the Supreme Leader of Iran · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Office of the Supreme Leader of Iran carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: February 2011 house arrest of Mousavi and Karroubi, independently reported, lasting years.
No open trial sat. The 2009 file was the pretext.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest, not a later speech about Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to Security organs detained them under his Leadership. No open trial sat. The 2009 file was the pretext. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorAli Khamenei
- contributed toFactMir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest
- weakensDrivers (2)Democratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi are placed under house arrest. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ir-house-arrest-2011
https://factrail.ai/facts/ir-house-arrest-2011
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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