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Goïta detained Mali's civilian transition leaders in a second coup

Military officers loyal to Assimi Goïta detained transitional President Bah N'Daw and Prime Minister Moctar Ouane following a cabinet reshuffle, disrupting the civilian-led transition established after the 2020 coup. In the causal graph this event weakens Goïta junta and AES break, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — an improving welfare path.

Goïta detained Mali's civilian transition leaders in a second coup

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

Military officers loyal to Assimi Goïta detained transitional President Bah N'Daw and Prime Minister Moctar Ouane following a cabinet reshuffle, disrupting the civilian-led transition established after the 2020 coup.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

No public contributors are listed for this fact.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactGoïta detained Mali's civilian transition leaders in a second coup
    2. weakensDriverGoïta junta and AES break
    3. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government
    Improving path

    impact weight 0.95 · verified

    • Having a say in government

      via Goïta junta and AES break

      Better

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.76 (weight 0.95 × strength 0.8)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.World Report 2022: MaliHuman Rights Watch · verified
  2. 2.Communique Extraordinary Summit on the Political Situation In MaliECOWAS · verified

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. FactGoïta detained Mali's civilian transition leaders in a second coup
  2. weakensDriverGoïta junta and AES break
  3. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). Goïta detained Mali's civilian transition leaders in a second coup. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/mali-second-coup-2021

https://factrail.ai/facts/mali-second-coup-2021

Accessed 17 October 2026.

By the · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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