A National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly
On 30 July 2017 Venezuelans were called to elect a National Constituent Assembly convened by Maduro. The ANC then sat as a superordinate body over the 2015 National Assembly. In the causal graph this event weakens Democratic Resilience, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.
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On 30 July 2017 Venezuelans were called to elect a National Constituent Assembly convened by Maduro. Opposition parties boycotted. The ANC then sat as a superordinate body over the 2015 National Assembly.
Context
TSJ March 2017 sat as parent. Neighbouring protest deaths are the same season. He did not sit as every CNE machine.
TSJ 29 March is the parent. 2018 presidential contest is a child under ANC weather.
The President of Venezuela heads the national executive, commands FANB as commander-in-chief, appoints the cabinet, and can request enabling laws. He does not write an OFAC designation, an ICC Pre-Trial Chamber decision, or a Colombian migration statute. A CNE announcement is not an opposition acta and is not a Carter Center finding. Those three statuses stay on separate rows. An ICC investigation is not a conviction. An IMF figure is labelled as an estimate where BCV stopped publishing. Sanctions after 2017 and 2019 are an external causal factor; they do not erase the pre-2017 PDVSA-and-policy collapse.
Why it matters
The path is democratic resilience: a completed parallel assembly that displaced an opposition-led legislature.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Nicolás Maduro
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.85 · verified
He convened the ANC. CNE ran the vote. PSUV filled seats. The 2015 Assembly remained a neighbour claimant.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactA National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly
- weakensDriverDemocratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
impact weight 0.85 · Effect from 30 July 2017 · verified
A completed constituent assembly over a sitting elected legislature is a dated contest-collapse instrument.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.59 (weight 0.85 × strength 0.7)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.38 (weight 0.85 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.38 (weight 0.85 × strength 0.45)
Observed
0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
- FactA National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly
- strengthensDriverJudicial independence erosion (court capture)
- strengthensIndicators (4)Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 0.5 · Effect from 30 July 2017 · verified
The ANC later claimed superordinate power over remaining courts and statutes.
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.36 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.72)
Observed
43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.35 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.7)
Observed
0.55 index score (0-1) · 0.26 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.34 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.69)
Observed
0.62 score from 0 to 1 · 0.25 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.37 score from 0 to 1 to 0.62 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
All indicators on this path (4)
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.15 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.3)
Observed
42.5 index score (0-100) · 7.53 below the normal line (2025)
Worse than normalAbove normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — Venezuela’s Maduro claims victory in constituent assembly voteReuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.Consejo Nacional Electoral — 14 April 2013 presidential result announcementCNE · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
CNE announced a turnout the opposition and later independent reporting disputed.
CNE carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: 30 July 2017 ANC election and seating, independently reported.
Not established: a unique later GDP coefficient from that Sunday, or that a new constitution was thereby completed that night.
CNE ran the vote. PSUV filled seats. The 2015 Assembly remained a neighbour claimant.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies A National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly, not a later speech about A National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He convened the ANC. CNE ran the vote. PSUV filled seats. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorNicolás Maduro
- contributed toFactA National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly
- weakensDrivers (2)Democratic Resilience
- strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). A National Constituent Assembly is elected and seated over the 2015 National Assembly. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/ve-anc-2017
https://factrail.ai/facts/ve-anc-2017
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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