Voters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again
On 21 February 2016 Bolivia held a constitutional referendum on amending Article 168 so that the president and vice-president could be re-elected twice consecutively. Valid votes: 2,682,517 NO (51.30%) and 2,546,135 YES (48.70%), turnout 84.45%. In the causal graph this event weakens Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

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On 21 February 2016 Bolivia held a constitutional referendum on amending Article 168 so that the president and vice-president could be re-elected twice consecutively. Valid votes: 2,682,517 NO (51.30%) and 2,546,135 YES (48.70%), turnout 84.45%. OAS observed.
Context
He was already in a third term counting the pre-2009 mandate. García Linera was on the same ticket question. He did not sit as every precinct printer.
2009 constitution is parent. 28 November 2017 TCP is the override child. Keep Voters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again on 2016-02-21 separate from neighbouring 21 February 2016 referendum, 28 November 2017 TCP 0084/2017, 10 November 2019 resignation, 14 November 2024 TCP MAS resolution, and 31 March 2025 EVO Pueblo.
The president of Bolivia was head of state, head of government, and commander-in-chief until November 2019. A living former president can convene a party congress and call blockades. He does not sit as a TCP magistrate, a TSE precinct printer, or an OAS auditor.
Why it matters
The path is electoral integrity: a completed popular NO on a further consecutive term.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Evo Morales
PersonDirect responsibility
verified
TSE counted. He campaigned YES. Voters chose NO. OAS observed.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactVoters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again
- weakensDriverElectoral Integrity and Competitiveness
- strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
impact weight 1 · Effect from 21 February 2016 · verified
A completed referendum NO on a further term is a dated weakening of electoral integrity when later overridden.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.8 (weight 1 × strength 0.8)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.68 (weight 1 × strength 0.68)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.51 (weight 1 × strength 0.51)
Observed
45 Score · 45 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 43.8 Score to 45 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- FactVoters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again
- sets in motionDriverMorales parallel MAS
- strengthensIndicators (2)Political Stability and Absence of Violence Gap from the Highest Governance Score
impact weight 1 · Effect from 21 February 2016 · verified
The 2016 NO initiates the parallel-machine file as a popular instrument later set aside.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.48 (weight 1 × strength 0.48)
Observed
34.7 Score · 34.7 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: fell from 36.2 Score to 34.7 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.42 (weight 1 × strength 0.42)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.morales-parallel-mas observation 2016-02-21Órgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia · High credibility · verified
- 2.Órgano Electoral Plurinacional — 17 August 2025 general-election result neighbourhoodÓrgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Órgano Electoral Plurinacional of Bolivia carries the official instrument or communique. Organization of American States records the same dated act independently.
Established: Voters rejected the Article 168 amendment on 21 February 2016, 51.3% to 48.7%, with OAS observation.
Not established: A unique later turnout coefficient, or that the 2017 TCP erases this Sunday.
He campaigned YES. Voters chose NO. OAS observed.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Voters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again, not a later speech about Voters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to TSE counted. He campaigned YES. Voters chose NO. OAS observed. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorEvo Morales
- contributed toFactVoters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again
- weakensDrivers (2)Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness
- strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Voters reject amending Article 168 so Morales could run again. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/bo-morales-referendum-2016
https://factrail.ai/facts/bo-morales-referendum-2016
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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