EEAS politically backs the Commission-Tunisia migration memorandum
In July 2023 the Commission signed a Tunisia memorandum while Borrell’s foreign-policy shop treated Saied as a hybrid-and-migration counterpart. In the causal graph this event strengthens Migration-policy restrictiveness and border control, a driver that weakens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Josep Borrell
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.35 · verified
von der Leyen signed. He owned the CFSP neighbourhood frame. Tunisia implemented.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactEEAS politically backs the Commission-Tunisia migration memorandum
- strengthensDriverMigration-policy restrictiveness and border control
- weakensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
impact weight 0.45 · Effect from 16 July 2023 · verified
Paying a third country to stop departures increases practical restrictiveness on the central Mediterranean route.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.27 (weight 0.45 × strength 0.6)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.45 × strength 0.4)
Observed
303M persons · 150M above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal8 readings, 1990–2024: rose from 154M persons to 303M persons.
Moving normal line
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Human Rights Watch — Tunisia-EU migration dealHuman Rights Watch · High credibility · verified
- 2.Commission press release — Memorandum of Understanding with TunisiaOfficial record · High credibility · verified
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorJosep Borrell
- contributed toFactEEAS politically backs the Commission-Tunisia migration memorandum
- strengthensDriverMigration-policy restrictiveness and border control
- weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). EEAS politically backs the Commission-Tunisia migration memorandum. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/eu-borrell-tunisia-2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/eu-borrell-tunisia-2023
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
Dispute this factNamed here, or represent someone who is? Request a right of reply.