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oversight findingVerified

Homicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024

In 2024 PNC and independent tallies recorded homicides remaining near historic lows in a second full exception year. In the causal graph this event strengthens Social Cohesion, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — an improving welfare path.

Sources: [1][2]

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In 2024 PNC and independent tallies recorded homicides remaining near historic lows in a second full exception year. Detention costs remain on neighbouring rows.

Context

PNC classified. Neighbouring 2023 collapse is the parent drop. Neighbouring 2024 election is politics. He did not sit as every registrar.

Homicide 2023 is the parent drop. Exception 2022 is the legal parent. CECOT is neighbouring.

The President of El Salvador heads the executive, commands the armed forces, and can request a state of exception that the Legislative Assembly must approve and extend. He does not write a Constitutional Chamber judgment by himself, an IMF board decision, or a US Treasury designation. The Assembly, PNC, Fiscalía, and prison service share specific files. A homicide print is not a unique due-process coefficient. Gang membership is not proven by detention alone.

Why it matters

The path is social cohesion: a completed second low-homicide year is a dated everyday-security instrument, remaining untried detention named.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Nayib Bukele

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    responsibility level 0.65 · verified

    He owned the exception weather. The PNC recorded. Independent tallies corroborated a continued low. Prisons still held neighbouring untried people.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactHomicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024
    2. strengthensDriverSocial Cohesion
    3. strengthensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
    Improving path

    impact weight 0.65 · Effect from 31 December 2024 · verified

    A completed second low-homicide year sustains expected everyday movement.

    • Having a say in government

      via Social Cohesion

      Better

      Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.29 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

    • Rule of Law Gap from the Highest Governance Score

      via Social Cohesion

      Better

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.29 (weight 0.65 × strength 0.45)

      Observed

      43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)

      Worse than normal

      26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.

      Normal is zero · any amount = worse

    1. FactHomicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024
    2. strengthensDriverHumanitarian Access
    3. strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
    Worsening path

    impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 31 December 2024 · verified

    Sustained low street killing is a dated civilian-access instrument, remaining prison costs named.

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Reuters — El Salvador homicides remain near historic lowsReuters · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.PNC — 2023 homicide statisticsNational Civil Police of El Salvador · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

National Civil Police of El Salvador carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.

Established: 2024 continued low homicides, independently reported.

Not established: that every detainee was a unique homicide author, or a unique later disappearance series of zero.

The PNC recorded. Independent tallies corroborated a continued low. Prisons still held neighbouring untried people.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Homicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024, not a later speech about Homicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024.

Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He owned the exception weather. The PNC recorded. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorNayib Bukele
  2. contributed toFactHomicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024
  3. strengthensDrivers (2)Social Cohesion
  4. strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). Homicide prints remain near historic lows in 2024. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/sv-homicide-2024

https://factrail.ai/facts/sv-homicide-2024

Accessed 15 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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