Southwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023
Through fiscal 2023, CBP southwest-land encounters remained at historically high levels after a record FY2022. In the causal graph this event strengthens Forced-Displacement Scale, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — a worsening welfare path.
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Through fiscal 2023, CBP southwest-land encounters remained at historically high levels after a record FY2022. He did not write a CBP sector tally.
Context
Title 42, parole programmes, and Mexican cooperation sat. Neighbouring Title 42 end is May 2023. Store as complex: enforcement weather is presidential; operational command is DHS/CBP.
Title 42 11 May 2023 is neighbouring. MPP 2021 is a parent halt.
The President of the United States signs enrolled bills and is Commander in Chief. He does not write a Senate roll-call, a CBP sector tally, an IDF campaign, or a CBO score. A signature is not unique authorship of every title Congress enrolled. Drafting and floor votes remain with Congress. An archived White House (https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/ (opens in a new tab)) is the official carrier for this term; current whitehouse.gov is not this administration. Office-holding is not authorship of every later CPI print, encounter table, or foreign campaign.
Why it matters
The path is forced displacement and migration-policy restrictiveness: a completed two-year record-encounter cluster is a dated outcome on enforcement weather he set, remaining CBP command as a neighbour.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Joe Biden
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.35 · verified
He set enforcement weather. DHS and CBP ran the line. Mexico cooperated or did not. He did not write sector tallies.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactSouthwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023
- strengthensDriverForced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicators (2)People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.5 · Effect from 30 September 2023 · verified
Record southwest encounters are a completed displacement-volume year-table.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.4 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.8)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.23 (weight 0.5 × strength 0.46)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
- FactSouthwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023
- weakensDriverHumanitarian Access
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.35 · Effect from 30 September 2023 · verified
High irregular crossings coincide with humanitarian strain in origin, transit, and US cities.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.17 (weight 0.35 × strength 0.5)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.FactCheck.org — Biden’s final numbers, including the inflation peakFactCheck.org · High credibility · verified
- 2.CBP — 2025 additional tariff effective-date materialsU.S. Customs and Border Protection · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
U.S. Customs and Border Protection carries the official instrument or communique. FactCheck.org records the same dated act independently.
Established: FY2022–FY2023 high southwest encounters, independently reported from CBP tables.
Not established: that he ordered every release, or a unique later municipal-budget coefficient as his personal tally.
DHS and CBP ran the line. Mexico cooperated or did not. He did not write sector tallies.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Southwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023, not a later speech about Southwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He set enforcement weather. DHS and CBP ran the line. Mexico cooperated or did not. He did not write sector tallies. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorJoe Biden
- contributed toFactSouthwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023
- strengthensDrivers (2)Forced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Southwest land encounters remain at record levels through FY2023. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/us-biden-encounters-fy2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/us-biden-encounters-fy2023
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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