The United States submits formal Paris Agreement withdrawal notice under Trump
In 2017 President Trump announced intent to withdraw from the Paris Agreement; the United States deposited a formal withdrawal notification with the United Nations on 4 November 2019, which took effect on 4 November 2020 under Article 28. In the causal graph this event weakens Decarbonization and climate-mitigation policy, a driver that weakens Global CO2 emissions per capita — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
In 2017 President Trump announced intent to withdraw from the Paris Agreement; the United States deposited a formal withdrawal notification with the United Nations on 4 November 2019, which took effect on 4 November 2020 under Article 28. This Fact stores the first-term withdrawal track as completed when notice could be deposited, using the 2017 decision date as the presidential act that started the clock, with the depositary effect dated in neighbouring rows if present. Here the presidential announcement-and-instruction of 1 June 2017, implemented by State, is the instrument.
Context
Article 28 of the Paris Agreement imposes a three-year wait from entry into force before notice, then a one-year notice. Trump could not exit on the announcement day. Other parties stayed. U.S. cities and states announced ‘We Are Still In’.
Donald Trump did not act alone on every file. Congress, courts, agencies, foreign counterparts, and later administrators share specific instruments. Office-holding is not automatic authorship of every downstream welfare series. Allegation is not a completed judgment.
Why it matters
Decarbonization-policy path: a completed presidential decision to leave Paris reduced expected federal NDC discipline, with treaty lag.
A completed first-term decision to leave Paris reduced U.S. federal participation in the NDC regime, with treaty lag.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Donald Trump
PersonDirect responsibility
responsibility level 0.8 · verified
He announced and instructed withdrawal. State deposited later. Other parties stayed in.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactThe United States submits formal Paris Agreement withdrawal notice under Trump
- weakensDriverDecarbonization and climate-mitigation policy
- weakensIndicators (3)Global CO2 emissions per capita
impact weight 0.6 · Effect from 1 June 2017 · verified
A completed first-term decision to leave Paris reduced U.S. federal participation in the NDC regime, with treaty lag.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.36 (weight 0.6 × strength 0.6)
Observed
4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year · 2.43 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 4.71 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2023) and 4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2024).
20232024 Above normal = worse
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.3 (weight 0.6 × strength 0.5)
Observed
32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) · 27.9 above the normal line (2023)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2021–2023: fell from 33.2 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) to 32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted).
Above normal = worse
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.24 (weight 0.6 × strength 0.4)
Observed
30% of electricity generation · 11 above the normal line (2023)
Better than normal6 readings, 2000–2023: rose from 18.9% of electricity generation to 30% of electricity generation.
Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — Trump to pull U.S. from Paris climate accordReuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.White House archive — Statement on the Paris Climate Accord, 1 June 2017National Archives / Trump White House · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
The White House 1 June 2017 statement and later UN depositary notice are official. Independent reporting records the Rose Garden announcement. They do not print a unique 2017 gigatonne from the lawn.
Established: 1 June 2017 presidential decision to withdraw, later deposited. Not established: that global emissions in 2017 were this speech.
The score must not merge 2017, 2019 deposit, 2020 effect, 2021 rejoin, and 2025 second withdrawal into one row.
State deposited later. Other parties stayed in.. Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. The contribution type is direct. Trump’s documented role is limited to the instrument named in the title. He did not write the independent newspaper; the newspaper did not enact the instrument. Off-family indicator padding is refused.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorDonald Trump
- contributed toFactThe United States submits formal Paris Agreement withdrawal notice under Trump
- weakensDriverDecarbonization and climate-mitigation policy
- weakensIndicatorGlobal CO2 emissions per capita
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). The United States submits formal Paris Agreement withdrawal notice under Trump. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/us-fact-paris-withdrawal-notice-2017
https://factrail.ai/facts/us-fact-paris-withdrawal-notice-2017
Accessed 15 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
Dispute this factNamed here, or represent someone who is? Request a right of reply.