Ibama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term
In February 2010 Ibama issued a preliminary licence for the Belo Monte hydroelectric dam on the Xingu, a second-term industrial project later built under Dilma. In the causal graph this event strengthens Forced-Displacement Scale, a driver that strengthens People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC) — a worsening welfare path.
Read the full account
In February 2010 Ibama issued a preliminary licence for the Belo Monte hydroelectric dam on the Xingu, a second-term industrial project later built under Dilma. Indigenous and riverine objections sat.
Context
Eletrobras and Norte Energia sat. Neighbouring PAC is the parent investment brand. He did not pour the concrete.
PAC 2007 is neighbouring. Racial statute 2010 is a different rights file the same year.
The President of Brazil heads the federal executive, sanctions statutes, and commands the armed forces as a political principal. He does not write STF judgments, INPE satellite pixels, a US tariff proclamation, or a Venezuelan CNE tally. Congress, governors, Petrobras, and coalition partners share specific files.
Why it matters
The path is deforestation pressure and minority rights: a completed mega-dam licence on the Xingu is a dated displacement-and-forest instrument.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Direct responsibility
responsibility level 0.5 · verified
His government licensed. Ibama signed. Dilma later built. Riverine communities objected.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactIbama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term
- strengthensDriverForced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicators (2)People Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 1 February 2010 · verified
Licensing Belo Monte raised expected displacement of riverine and indigenous communities, with lag.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.32 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.8)
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse
- Worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.46)
Observed
10.4% · 10.2 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: fell from 11.1% to 10.4%.
Above normal = worse
- FactIbama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term
- weakensDriverProtection of Minority Rights
- strengthensIndicators (2)Having a say in government
impact weight 0.4 · Effect from 1 February 2010 · verified
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.4 × strength 0.45)
Observed
43.9 Score · 43.9 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal26 readings, 1996–2024: rose from 43 Score to 43.9 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- FactIbama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term
- strengthensDriverTropical deforestation pressure
- strengthensIndicators (2)Global CO2 emissions per capita
impact weight 0.45 · Effect from 1 February 2010 · verified
A completed Amazon dam licence is a dated forest-and-river instrument.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.18 (weight 0.45 × strength 0.4)
Observed
4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year · 2.43 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 4.71 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2023) and 4.73 tonnes CO2 per person per year (2024).
20232024 Above normal = worse
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.11 (weight 0.45 × strength 0.25)
Observed
32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) · 27.9 above the normal line (2023)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2021–2023: fell from 33.2 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted) to 32.9 micrograms per cubic metre (annual mean, population-weighted).
Above normal = worse
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — Brazil licences Belo Monte damReuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.Ibama — preliminary environmental licence for Belo Monte, 2010Ibama · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Ibama carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: 2010 Ibama preliminary licence for Belo Monte during his presidency, independently reported.
Not established: a unique later displacement coefficient from that February as a personal tally, or that Dilma’s later construction was this hour alone.
Ibama signed. Dilma later built. Riverine communities objected.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies Ibama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term, not a later speech about Ibama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to His government licensed. Ibama signed. Dilma later built. Riverine communities objected. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- contributed toFactIbama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term
- strengthensDrivers (3)Forced-Displacement Scale
- strengthensIndicatorPeople Internally Displaced by Conflict and Violence (IDMC)
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). Ibama licences the Belo Monte dam in Lula’s second term. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/br-belo-monte-2010
https://factrail.ai/facts/br-belo-monte-2010
Accessed 16 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
Dispute this factNamed here, or represent someone who is? Request a right of reply.