NEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot
On 18 December 2023 the National Election Authority declared Abdel Fattah el-Sisi winner of the 10–12 December presidential election with 39,702,451 votes (89.6 percent) and turnout 66.8 percent. The Official Gazette published NEA Decision 39 of 2023. In the causal graph this event weakens Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

Read the full account
On 18 December 2023 the National Election Authority declared Abdel Fattah el-Sisi winner of the 10–12 December presidential election with 39,702,451 votes (89.6 percent) and turnout 66.8 percent. The Official Gazette published NEA Decision 39 of 2023. Serious challengers did not reach the ballot. This page does not invent a unique fraud integer.
Context
He ran. NEA tabulated. Hazem Omar, Farid Zahran, and Abdel-Sanad Yamama were recorded in single digits. Ahmed al-Tantawy dropped after alleging obstruction. Tantawy is unresolved.
10–12 December poll; 18 December NEA declaration. Stored as one 18 December 2023 Fact. Keep NEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot on 2023-12-18 separate from neighbouring coup, Rab’a, referendum, and 2023-return instruments.
The president of Egypt is head of state and supreme commander. In 2013 he was defence minister and deputy prime minister for security. He can announce an ouster, command a dispersal, and accept an NEA return. He does not write an HRW investigation, an IMF board minute, or a unique Rab’a integer invented here.
Why it matters
The path is electoral integrity: a completed 89.6 percent certification against no serious challenger.
Who was responsible
Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
PersonDirect responsibility
verified
He ran and was certified. NEA tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the certification.
What changed
Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.
- FactNEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot
- weakensDriverElectoral Integrity and Competitiveness
- strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
impact weight 1 · Effect from 18 December 2023 · verified
A completed 89.6 percent return against no serious challenger is a dated weakening of electoral integrity.
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.8 (weight 1 × strength 0.8)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Strengthens · Relationship strength 0.68 (weight 1 × strength 0.68)
Observed
0.53 score from 0 to 1 · 0.34 below the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal125 readings, 1900–2024: rose from 0.17 score from 0 to 1 to 0.53 score from 0 to 1.
Above normal = better
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.51 (weight 1 × strength 0.51)
Observed
45 Score · 45 above the normal line (2024)
Worse than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 43.8 Score to 45 Score.
Normal is zero · any amount = worse
- FactNEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot
- strengthensDriverSisi post-2013 military presidency
- weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government
impact weight 1 · Effect from 18 December 2023 · verified
A completed 2023 89.6 percent certification is a dated strengthening of the post-2013 military presidency.
Weakens · Relationship strength 0.8 (weight 1 × strength 0.8)
Observed
29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalTwo readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).
20212023 Above normal = better
Evidence
The sources behind this fact and its verification state.
- 1.Reuters — Sisi 89.6 percent third term; critics say the election was not competitive, 18 December 2023Reuters · High credibility · verified
- 2.Cairo 24 — Official Gazette publishes NEA Decision 39 of 2023: 39,702,451 votes (89.6 percent)Cairo 24 (recording the Official Gazette) · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish
Cairo 24 (recording the Official Gazette) carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.
Established: NEA declared 39,702,451 votes (89.6 percent) and 66.8 percent turnout on 18 December 2023.
NEA tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the certification.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies NEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot, not a later speech about NEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot.
Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He ran and was certified. NEA tabulated. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.
Causal path
How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.
- ActorAbdel Fattah el-Sisi
- contributed toFactNEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot
- weakensDrivers (2)Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness
- strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government
Cite this page
Factrail. (2026). NEA declares Sisi winner with 89.6 percent; no serious challenger on the ballot. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/eg-sisi-election-2023
https://factrail.ai/facts/eg-sisi-election-2023
Accessed 17 October 2026.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed
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