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ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout

On 26 July 2022 ISIE announced preliminary results of the 25 July constitutional referendum: 2,607,884 yes (94.6 percent) and turnout of 2,830,094 of 9,278,541 registered (30.5 percent). Decision 2022-22 of 16 August 2022 proclaimed those figures final. In the causal graph this event weakens Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness, a driver that strengthens Having a say in government — a worsening welfare path.

ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout

Sources: [1][2]

Read the full account

On 26 July 2022 ISIE announced preliminary results of the 25 July constitutional referendum: 2,607,884 yes (94.6 percent) and turnout of 2,830,094 of 9,278,541 registered (30.5 percent). Decision 2022-22 of 16 August 2022 proclaimed those figures final. No minimum turnout was required. This page does not invent a unique boycott integer.

Context

He drafted and campaigned for the text. Opposition groups boycotted. ISIE tabulated. The new constitution concentrates executive and judicial power in the presidency.

25 July 2022 poll; 26 July preliminary; 16 August Decision 2022-22. Stored as one 26 July 2022 Fact. Keep ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout on 2022-07-26 separate from neighbouring 25 July, referendum, and 2024-return instruments.

The president of Tunisia is head of state. He can invoke Article 80, sack a prime minister, and accept an ISIE return. He does not write an ISIE decision as if he were the commission, and he does not invent a unique arrest integer here.

Why it matters

The path is electoral integrity: a completed hyper-presidential constitution certified on 30.5 percent turnout.

Who was responsible

Contribution type and responsibility level for each recorded actor — not sole-author shorthand.

  • Kais Saied

    Person

    Direct responsibility

    verified

    He drafted the text and accepted the certification. ISIE tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the referendum.

What changed

Fact → Driver → Indicator. Relationship strength orders the paths; it is not the observed indicator movement.

    1. FactISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout
    2. weakensDriverElectoral Integrity and Competitiveness
    3. strengthensIndicators (3)Having a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 1 · Effect from 26 July 2022 · verified

    A completed 94.6 percent certification on 30.5 percent turnout is a dated weakening of electoral integrity.

    1. FactISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout
    2. strengthensDriverSaied 2021 power concentration
    3. weakensIndicatorHaving a say in government
    Worsening path

    impact weight 1 · Effect from 26 July 2022 · verified

    A completed 2022 constitution concentrating presidential power is a dated strengthening of 2021 power concentration.

    • Having a say in government

      via Saied 2021 power concentration

      Worse

      Weakens · Relationship strength 0.8 (weight 1 × strength 0.8)

      Observed

      29.8% of population aged 16-65 years · 8.13 below the normal line (2023)

      Worse than normal

      Two readings: 30.2% of population aged 16-65 years (2021) and 29.8% of population aged 16-65 years (2023).

      20212023

      Above normal = better

Evidence

The sources behind this fact and its verification state.

Verified2 sources on file
  1. 1.Reuters — New constitution passed with 30.5 percent turnout, 26 July 2022Reuters · High credibility · verified
  2. 2.ISIE Decision 2022-22 of 16 August 2022 — 2,607,884 yes (94.6 percent), 30.5 percent turnoutInstance supérieure indépendante pour les élections · High credibility · verified
What the sources establish

Instance supérieure indépendante pour les élections carries the official instrument or communique. Reuters records the same dated act independently.

Established: ISIE recorded 94.6 percent yes and 30.5 percent turnout. Decision 2022-22 proclaimed the result final.

Not established: A unique fraud integer, or that 94.6 percent is an ODIHR competitive finding.

ISIE tabulated. Sharing tabulation is not a reason to drop the referendum.. A later repeal, court stay, or successor order would be a different Fact with a different date. That pair identifies ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout, not a later speech about ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout.

Co-authors and later implementers named in Context remain on the file. If a later repeal, stay, or successor instrument exists, it needs its own date and its own row. The contribution described on this Person row is limited to He drafted the text and accepted the certification. ISIE tabulated. That limit is the alternative to treating office-holding as authorship of every later series.

Causal path

How this event connects to drivers and indicators in the graph.

  1. ActorKais Saied
  2. contributed toFactISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout
  3. weakensDrivers (2)Electoral Integrity and Competitiveness
  4. strengthensIndicatorHaving a say in government

Cite this page

Factrail. (2026). ISIE records 94.6 percent yes for Saied’s constitution on 30.5 percent turnout. Factrail. https://factrail.ai/facts/tn-saied-constitution-2022

https://factrail.ai/facts/tn-saied-constitution-2022

Accessed 15 October 2026.

By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed

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