Net harmfulFormula-derived score
The through-line is mobilisation mechanics and martial-law cabinet governance. A living wartime PM is scored on those instruments. Defensive war is context, not immunity.
Sources: [1]
Biggest harms and offsets: signed contributions to the formula-derived score, ranked by size.
via Ukraine war (Crimea–Donbas–2022+) → Global deaths from organized violence (UCDP)
24 February 2022 · Direct contribution
The heaviest documented costs sit on mobilisation governance under martial law, not on a donor-brochure adjective.
He was PM on 24 February 2022 and through the years of mobilisation-law amendments that independent reporting recorded as controversial on fairness and enforcement. Reconstruction agencies sat under the cabinet. Those are completed governance facts, not unique embezzlement convictions unless a docket names him. Defensive war is context, not immunity.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains president. Confidence is medium where later audit findings sit between a statute and a welfare series. This paragraph is an assessment, not a substitute number.
Sorted by the size of this person’s signed contribution. The observed state is the indicator’s own reading, not this person’s doing.
−121 pts to the score
Observed
245k deaths per year · 195k above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normalAbove normal = worse · 2022 · 1 fact, full confidence · formula deviation factor −3
−108 pts to the score
Observed
69M people (stock, end-of-year) · 28M above the normal line (2025)
Worse than normal3 readings, 2023–2025: rose from 68M people (stock, end-of-year) to 69M people (stock, end-of-year).
Above normal = worse · 2022 · 1 fact, full confidence · formula deviation factor −3
Linked through a verified fact
Observed
11 · 11 above the normal line (2023)
Worse than normalAbove normal = worse
Linked through a verified fact
Observed
73.7 · 1.92 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 69.4 to 73.7.
Above normal = better
Linked through a verified fact
Observed
58.5 · 1.08 above the normal line (2024)
Better than normal7 readings, 2018–2024: rose from 52.8 to 58.5.
Above normal = better
Claims against the record, the type of responsibility, and what is disputed.
Responsibility
What could change this assessment
Person → Fact → Driver → Indicator. Select a path to inspect its factors; the full network opens on demand.
Contribution size 1 · Responsibility 0.5 · Fact impact 1 · Driver weight 1 · Driver → indicator −0.85 · Indicator importance 0.95 · Deviation factor −3 · Confidence 1
How the record is sourced and how the score is derived.
1 of 1 linked fact verified, drawing on 1 distinct source (2022).
Sources include Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine.
Sources
The score is formula-derived (Factrail formula v1, version 1.0.0), not an editorial verdict. Read the methodology.
By the Factrail desk · Method: how we source and score · Last reviewed · Sources: 1
An excerpt; the full analysis opens on request.
Denys Shmyhal was prime minister of Ukraine from 4 March 2020 through the invasion years. The president is commander-in-chief. The OP head gates. The PM implements. Rustem Umerov and Oleksandr Syrskyi are unresolved.
This page reuses ukraine-war. It does not mint a second war.
Mobilisation-law amendments and enforcement controversies in 2024 are the dated cabinet file. Independent wires recorded protests and fairness fights. He is PM. He is not every TCC officer.
They do not rebate mobilisation unfairness.
He ran the cabinet. The Rada wrote statutes. The OP gated. Sharing a defensive war is not a reason to drop the row.
Mobilisation governance attaches to ukraine-war. It is not a Soviet executive-power-concentration primary home.
No exact number. Direction may be negative where fairness costs dominate. A later genuine completed resignation gazette or a named audit judgment would be a different date. Umerov and Syrskyi remain names, not minted biographies.
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