What the papers actually show
Martin Luther is a professor-publicist in a princely empire, not a modern rights jurist. The usable record is Latin disputations, German pamphlets, a Bible, catechisms, a diet appearance, and wartime tracts.
The first fact about his power is print plus a Saxon protector. Without Frederick III the Worms ban is the end of the story. With Frederick, the Wartburg becomes a translation workshop. The second fact is that he writes faster than diets. Theses, three 1520 books, a bull-burning, a diet refusal, and a German New Testament land inside five years. Later catechisms and a complete Bible stretch the same print machine into the 1530s. The third fact is that the same machine prints the peasant-war pamphlet and the 1543 anti-Jewish programme. Speed is not a moral credit.
What went wrong, and what is proven
In May 1525 Luther told princes to smite peasant bands. The pamphlet exists. Frankenhausen exists. He had earlier written of gospel liberty; he then defined that liberty as not rebellion. Thomas Müntzer is dead; Luther is not the hangman and not a bystander in print.
In 1543 On the Jews and Their Lies and Vom Schem Hamphoras recommend synagogue fire, book seizure, and expulsion. That is a programme. Later centuries can cite it. They cannot unwrite it. The 1523 milder conversion pamphlet is a different Fact, not a cancellation.
The 1540 Hesse bigamy counsel is a sealed exception for a landgrave. Anabaptist executions in evangelical lands have his public theological climate behind them even when Melanchthon drafts the memo.
What improved, and how far
The 1522 Septembertestament and 1534 Bible are the education-access core. The 1529 catechisms are teacher-supply after failed visitations. The 1524 school address tells councils to pay. The 1520 nobility and captivity treatises attack papal legal and sacramental extraction.
Invocavit 1522 restored order against Karlstadt. That can be read as pastoral care for weak consciences or as a princely brake.
Shared responsibility, and what this does not say
Melanchthon, Frederick, Philip of Hesse, the Cranach workshop, printers, and Charles V are not extras. A bull is Leo X. An edict is Charles. A massacre is princes. A Bible is a workshop.
The dossier does not say that Luther invented European antisemitism. It does not say that 1543 is 1933. It does not say that the German language begins in 1522. Confidence is high where a book or diet act names him, and medium where later churches and states implement, delay, or weaponise those books.
A Wittenberg chair is not a ministry of education. A pamphlet is not a regiment. A catechism is not a literacy census. The 1524 school address tells councils to pay; visitations later try to make that real. The 1522 New Testament is a printer's object; ownership rates are not in this file. The Edict of Worms is Charles V; the Wartburg is Frederick. Keep those names on the correct instruments.
What would change the reading: evidence that the 1525 pamphlet was not issued in the killing season; evidence that the 1543 treatise was not Luther's; evidence that the Septembertestament was not his translation workshop. Until then the three files remain separate paths with different signs. The 1527 plague treatise and the 1524 school address are smaller improving files; they still have dates, and they still are not the Bible. Open English carriers used here include the Christian Classics Ethereal Library (https://ccel.org/ccel/luther (opens in a new tab)) and Project Gutenberg’s Luther author page (https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/author/137 (opens in a new tab)).